Latest trade
Oct 4, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 10:43 AM UTC.
MAODAO is down $32.87 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 41 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-04 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 4, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 10:43 AM UTC.
$4.45 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 36 markets; 78.0% were buys. They run from Dec 30, 2025 UTC to Oct 4, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 5.27 | $0.949 | $5.09 | +$0.09 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 4.62 | $0.975 | $4.5 | 21d ago |
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Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-04 13:34 UTC
Polymarket public position response
4 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 10:43 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 10:43 UTC
polymarket positions
43 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-04 13:34 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $17.31 and losing ones cost $3.16 across 41 settled positions. 78% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $2.98 on “Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?” (Yes); the largest loss, $1 on “Will the debate have 50-55 million viewers?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 4 Oct 2026. It has traded 72 markets. Its open positions are worth $15.02 across 4 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 5.18 |
| $0.966 |
| $4.91 |
| -$0.09 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 4.62 | $0.975 | $4.51 | +$0.01 |
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 6.67 | $0.150 | $0.5 | -$0.5 |
| sell |
| 5.28 |
| $0.855 |
| $4.51 |
| 21d ago |
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Aug 7, 2026 UTC |
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.27 | $0.949 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 UTC |
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?No | buy | 5.29 | $0.946 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 UTC |
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 5.18 | $0.966 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 5.63 | $0.977 | $5.5 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
Will Pau Cubarsí score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 5.29 | $0.946 | $5 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.959 | $5 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Austria reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 4.6 | $0.957 | $4.4 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | May 1, 2026 UTC |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.4 | $0.938 | $6 | May 1, 2026 UTC |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.960 | $6 | May 1, 2026 UTC |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 5.8 | $0.930 | $5.39 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No | sell | 5.28 | $0.953 | $5.03 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.31 | $0.957 | $7 | Mar 26, 2026 UTC |
GTA VI released before June 2026?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.981 | $1 | Mar 26, 2026 UTC |
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.949 | $1 | Mar 26, 2026 UTC |
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes | sell | 5.06 | $0.820 | $4.15 | Mar 26, 2026 UTC |
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?Yes | sell | 5.46 | $0.954 | $5.21 | Mar 26, 2026 UTC |
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes | buy | 5.07 | $0.900 | $4.56 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?Yes | buy | 5.46 | $0.915 | $5 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 4.3 | $0.975 | $4.19 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
GTA VI released before June 2026?No | buy | 4.12 | $0.970 | $4 | Feb 24, 2026 UTC |
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No | buy | 4.23 | $0.946 | $4 | Feb 24, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No | sell | 4.22 | $0.977 | $4.12 | Feb 24, 2026 UTC |
Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?No | sell | 3.13 | $0.983 | $3.08 | Feb 24, 2026 UTC |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.3 | $0.930 | $4 | Feb 8, 2026 UTC |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 5.27 | $0.948 | $5 | Feb 8, 2026 UTC |
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 12 | $0.770 | $9.24 | Feb 8, 2026 UTC |
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 12 | $0.770 | $9.24 | Feb 8, 2026 UTC |
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?No | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No | buy | 4.23 | $0.946 | $4 | Jan 22, 2026 UTC |
US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Jan 22, 2026 UTC |
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?Yes | sell | 6.52 | $0.977 | $6.37 | Jan 22, 2026 UTC |
Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.957 | $3 | Jan 9, 2026 UTC |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.12 | $0.963 | $3 | Jan 9, 2026 UTC |
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.1 | $0.968 | $3 | Jan 9, 2026 UTC |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | sell | 15 | $0.830 | $12.45 | Jan 9, 2026 UTC |
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 UTC |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 15 | $0.820 | $12.3 | Jan 9, 2026 UTC |
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 14.08 | $0.071 | $1 | Dec 31, 2025 UTC |
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.930 | $3 | Dec 31, 2025 UTC |
US bank failure by January 31?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.930 | $3 | Dec 31, 2025 UTC |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.16 | $0.950 | $3 | Dec 31, 2025 UTC |
Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | sell | 3.37 | $0.978 | $3.3 | Dec 31, 2025 UTC |
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Dec 30, 2025 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.