Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 8 | $0.500 | $3.56 | -$0.44 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.500 | $4 | 2d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 4.85 |
| $0.390 |
| $1.89 |
| 24d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | 29d ago |
 Will China's CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?No | buy | 6.15 | $0.650 | $4 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.220 | $4 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio <88%?No | buy | 7.27 | $0.550 | $4 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?No | buy | 6.78 | $0.590 | $4 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 Week of August 3 2026?No | buy | 6.35 | $0.630 | $4 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.480 | $4 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?No | buy | 5.33 | $0.750 | $4 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | buy | 12.12 | $0.330 | $4 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.600 | $4 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.620 | $3.18 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in June?No | buy | 5.82 | $0.687 | $4 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.400 | $4 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in June?Yes | buy | 13.42 | $0.298 | $4 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | buy | 5.48 | $0.730 | $4 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.220 | $1.1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 7.9 | $0.510 | $4.03 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?No | buy | 5.83 | $0.710 | $4.14 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?No | buy | 3 | $0.590 | $1.77 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Coal" during cabinet meeting?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Apple say "iCloud" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.290 | $1.45 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting?No | buy | 3.25 | $0.400 | $1.3 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Another pandemic before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during tribute to Lindsey Graham?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.640 | $1.95 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Yum Brands (YUM) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 2.79 | $0.710 | $1.98 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Predecessor" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.220 | $4 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | buy | 7.11 | $0.502 | $3.57 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.330 | $1.65 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 2.72 | $0.740 | $2.01 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Sleepy" during White House Correspondents Dinner?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.530 | $1.89 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Verizon say "Spectrum" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 2.03 | $0.760 | $1.54 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?No | buy | 7.54 | $0.540 | $4.07 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Yes | buy | 5.07 | $0.760 | $3.85 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.660 | $2.01 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?No | buy | 3 | $0.650 | $1.95 | Jul 22, 2026 |