Latest trade
Oct 2, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 4:56 AM UTC.
Analytics
4lucky is down $6.25K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 25 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 2, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 4:56 AM UTC.
$50 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 35 markets; 74.0% were buys. They run from Aug 16, 2026 UTC to Oct 2, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.91K | $0.128 | $1.15K | +$652.06 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 522.64 | $0.760 | $397.21 | 21d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-01 09:25 UTC
Polymarket public position response
8 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 04:56 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 04:56 UTC
polymarket positions
26 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-01 09:25 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.75K and losing ones cost $6.96K across 25 settled positions. 52% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $520.12 on “Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?” (Yes); the largest loss, $2.7K on “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 2 Oct 2026. It has traded 59 markets. Its open positions are worth $2.46K across 8 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 2.05K |
| $0.195 |
| $461.94 |
| +$61.94 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 522.65 | $0.760 | $269.16 | -$128.05 |
 Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 7.59K | $0.129 | $216.43 | -$766.1 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 6.3K | $0.144 | $198.47 | -$710.49 |
| Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 6.13K | $0.228 | $144.04 | -$1.26K |
 Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 41.06 | $0.537 | $10.88 | -$11.18 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 417.17 | $0.120 | $3.55 | -$46.51 |
| sell |
| 144.82 |
| $0.870 |
| $125.99 |
| 25d ago |
| Will Italy win on 2026-09-28?Yes | sell | 138.88 | $0.976 | $135.55 | 25d ago |
| Will Latvia vs. Cyprus end in a draw?Yes | sell | 141.09 | $0.999 | $140.95 | 25d ago |
| Will Latvia vs. Cyprus end in a draw?Yes | buy | 141.1 | $0.310 | $43.74 | 26d ago |
| Will Armenia vs. Montenegro end in a draw?Yes | buy | 161.29 | $0.310 | $50 | 26d ago |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-09-28?Yes | buy | 144.83 | $0.290 | $42 | 26d ago |
| Will Italy win on 2026-09-28?Yes | buy | 138.89 | $0.360 | $50 | 26d ago |
| Will Hungary win on 2026-09-28?Yes | buy | 151.52 | $0.330 | $50 | 26d ago |
| Will Poland win on 2026-09-28?Yes | buy | 172.41 | $0.290 | $50 | 26d ago |
| Will Ukraine win on 2026-09-28?Yes | buy | 277.78 | $0.360 | $100 | 26d ago |
| Will Germany win on 2026-09-27?Yes | buy | 118.37 | $0.490 | $58 | 26d ago |
| Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-27?Yes | sell | 388.88 | $0.994 | $386.55 | 26d ago |
| Will Norway vs. Portugal end in a draw?Yes | sell | 192 | $0.260 | $49.92 | 26d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETUp | buy | 58.03 | $0.431 | $25 | 26d ago |
| Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 Portugal?Yes | buy | 137.75 | $0.120 | $16.53 | 26d ago |
| Spread: Germany (-1.5)Germany | buy | 115.98 | $0.430 | $49.87 | 26d ago |
| Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-27?Yes | buy | 186.11 | $0.360 | $67 | 26d ago |
| Will Austria win on 2026-09-27?Yes | sell | 76.66 | $0.999 | $76.58 | 26d ago |
| Will Gibraltar vs. Andorra end in a draw?Yes | sell | 111.11 | $0.999 | $111 | 26d ago |
| Will Austria win on 2026-09-27?Yes | buy | 76.66 | $0.620 | $47.53 | 26d ago |
| Will Denmark vs. Wales end in a draw?Yes | buy | 194.74 | $0.190 | $37 | 26d ago |
| Will Gibraltar vs. Andorra end in a draw?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.360 | $40 | 26d ago |
| Will Norway vs. Portugal end in a draw?Yes | buy | 192 | $0.250 | $48 | 26d ago |
| Will Ukraine win on 2026-09-28?Yes | buy | 540.54 | $0.370 | $200 | 26d ago |
| Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-27?Yes | buy | 202.78 | $0.360 | $73 | 26d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.05K | $0.195 | $400 | 26d ago |
| Will Serbia vs. Greece end in a draw?Yes | buy | 116.67 | $0.300 | $35 | 29d ago |
| Will Germany win on 2026-09-24?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.390 | $65 | 29d ago |
| Will Ukraine win on 2026-09-25?Yes | buy | 186.67 | $0.300 | $56 | 29d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.93K | $0.269 | $788.24 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 41.06 | $0.537 | $22.06 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.93K | $0.380 | $1.11K | Sep 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.4K | $0.505 | $1.21K | Sep 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 275.68 | $0.370 | $102 | Sep 6, 2026 UTC |
 UFC Fight Night: Muhammad Naimov vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Main Card)Muhammad Naimov | buy | 57.58 | $0.240 | $13.82 | Sep 5, 2026 UTC |
| UFC Fight Night: Trevor Peek vs. Kurtis Campbell (Featherweight, Prelims)Trevor Peek | buy | 65.22 | $0.230 | $15 | Sep 5, 2026 UTC |
| UFC Fight Night: Nathaniel Wood vs. Pavel Andrusca (Featherweight, Prelims)Pavel Andrusca | buy | 107.14 | $0.280 | $30 | Sep 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.340 | $20 | Sep 5, 2026 UTC |
| UFC Fight Night: Dan Hooker vs. Salahdine Parnasse (Lightweight, Main Card)Dan Hooker | buy | 200 | $0.200 | $40 | Sep 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.513 | $154 | Sep 5, 2026 UTC |
 Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime GoalscorerYes | buy | 112.4 | $0.413 | $46.41 | Sep 4, 2026 UTC |
| Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC | buy | 96.15 | $0.520 | $50 | Sep 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?Yes | buy | 87.5 | $0.160 | $14 | Sep 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 212 | $0.539 | $114.18 | Sep 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.7 | $0.740 | $5.7 | Aug 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 371.42 | $0.015 | $5.65 | Aug 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 95.14 | $0.730 | $69.49 | Aug 24, 2026 UTC |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 1.14K | $0.060 | $68.57 | Aug 16, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.