Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 83%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 8 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 73 daily closes on record from 8 Aug 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 62% on 16 Aug 2026 and the lowest 17% on 25 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 32% on 24 Sep 2026. $61.69K traded over the market's life.
63 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 27, 11:16 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 73 points, 8 Aug 2026 – 25 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Aug 2026 | 50.5% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 17.0% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Khvicha Kvaratskhelia officially finishes in the top 5 (positions 1 through 5) of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or final ranking. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ballon-dor-top-5-finish-2026
| Yes |
| 1.35K |
| Prickly-Eyrie | Yes | 927.51 |
| ABC12345654321 | Yes | 801.55 |
| Genovese | Yes | 751.28 |
| Puzzling-Nectar | Yes | 713.88 |
| kvaradonnay | Yes | 431.58 |
| Facundo29 | Yes | 410.98 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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