Analytics
Resolved Pavel Andrusca on 5 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Pavel Andrusca at 28%. The Nathaniel Wood side opened at 75% on 3 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 3 Sep 2026 to 5 Sep 2026, the highest close was 75% on 3 Sep 2026 and the lowest 72% on 5 Sep 2026. $258.75K traded over the market's life.
108 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 6, 6:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Nathaniel Wood price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 3 Sep 2026 – 5 Sep 2026, chart shows 68%–80%
| Observed | Nathaniel Wood price |
|---|---|
| 3 Sep 2026 | 75.0% |
| 5 Sep 2026 | 72.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Nathaniel Wood | 18.17K |
| TheWindKnowsmyName | Nathaniel Wood | 8.32K |
| evanng | Nathaniel Wood | 6K |
| sts22 | Nathaniel Wood | 5.29K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Nathaniel Wood" if Nathaniel Wood is officially declared the winner of the fight against Pavel Andrusca at UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse, scheduled for September 5, 2026. It will resolve to "Pavel Andrusca" if Pavel Andrusca is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 19, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-nat-pavand-2026-09-05
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| darkumbreon99 | Nathaniel Wood | 2.93K |
| SteadyC | Nathaniel Wood | 1.6K |
| FightingStats | Nathaniel Wood | 1.6K |
| randomniynickname | Nathaniel Wood | 1.53K |
| .SUNDAY. | Nathaniel Wood | 1.45K |
| Webbed-Luck | Nathaniel Wood | 1.3K |
