Latest trade
Sep 16, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 12:58 AM UTC.
Analytics
IceFrosst has made $936.36 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 16, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 12:58 AM UTC.
$5.04 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 10 markets; 80.0% were buys. They run from Sep 5, 2026 UTC to Sep 16, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 516.26 | $0.265 | $232.32 | +$95.63 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.520 | $5.2 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
|
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-24 20:12 UTC
Polymarket public position response
2 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 00:58 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 00:58 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-12 08:32 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $44.37K and losing ones cost $47.58K across the latest 50 settled positions. 54% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $10.34K on “US government shutdown Saturday?” (No); the largest loss, $19.21K on “US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?” (No).
It first traded on 28 Dec 2025 and most recently on 16 Sep 2026. It has traded 339 markets. Its open positions are worth $288.96 across 2 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 4.93K |
| $0.060 |
| $56.65 |
| -$238.87 |
| buy |
| 290 |
| $0.660 |
| $191.4 |
| Sep 14, 2026 UTC |
| Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 422.14 | $0.711 | $300 | Sep 14, 2026 UTC |
| GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027?Yes | sell | 161.69 | $0.370 | $59.83 | Sep 12, 2026 UTC |
| GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027?Yes | sell | 677.96 | $0.400 | $271.18 | Sep 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.743 | $89.12 | Sep 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.2K | $0.150 | $180 | Sep 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Grok 5 be released by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 304.35 | $0.868 | $264.1 | Sep 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 36.01 | $0.036 | $1.3 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.036 | $0.36 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 57.09 | $0.036 | $2.06 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.036 | $1.08 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 3.16K | $0.780 | $2.46K | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 257.69 | $0.780 | $201 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 800 | $0.750 | $600 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 400 | $0.760 | $304 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 1K | $0.770 | $770 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
 LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?No | sell | 1.5K | $0.011 | $16.7 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 700 | $0.760 | $532 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
| LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?No | buy | 1K | $0.025 | $24.92 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
| LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?No | buy | 500 | $0.029 | $14.5 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
| GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 1.36K | $0.265 | $359 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 199.69 | $0.052 | $10.38 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 1.3K | $0.052 | $67 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 81 | $0.045 | $3.65 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.045 | $0.14 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 25.89 | $0.045 | $1.17 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.045 | $0.45 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 420 | $0.054 | $22.68 | Sep 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.992 | $9.92 | Sep 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will Khamzat Chimaev fight Sean Strickland next?No | sell | 126.02 | $0.988 | $124.51 | Sep 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.128 | $320.01 | Sep 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 85.07 | $0.023 | $1.96 | Sep 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 65.04 | $0.023 | $1.5 | Sep 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 10.01 | $0.023 | $0.23 | Sep 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.023 | $1.72 | Sep 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 26.25 | $0.039 | $1.02 | Sep 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.039 | $1.56 | Sep 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.039 | $1.56 | Sep 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.039 | $1.56 | Sep 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 13.01 | $0.039 | $0.51 | Sep 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.039 | $1.17 | Sep 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.039 | $4.29 | Sep 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.039 | $0.39 | Sep 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.039 | $1.17 | Sep 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.039 | $0.43 | Sep 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.039 | $4.88 | Sep 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.039 | $2.73 | Sep 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 424.73 | $0.039 | $16.56 | Sep 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.039 | $1.17 | Sep 5, 2026 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 118 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.