Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 218.97 | $0.966 | $211.53 | Dec 17, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 218.95 |
| $0.966 |
| $211.51 |
| Dec 17, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 214.3 | $0.987 | $211.51 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 214.28 | $0.988 | $211.71 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 220.07 | $0.962 | $211.71 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 214.51 | $0.987 | $211.72 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 220.31 | $0.961 | $211.72 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 214.52 | $0.987 | $211.73 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 218.29 | $0.970 | $211.74 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 214.74 | $0.986 | $211.73 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 214.74 | $0.987 | $211.95 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | sell | 212.59 | $0.997 | $211.95 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | buy | 212.6 | $0.998 | $212.17 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 218.28 | $0.972 | $212.17 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 213.45 | $0.994 | $212.17 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 213.45 | $0.995 | $212.38 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 214.53 | $0.990 | $212.38 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 214.53 | $0.991 | $212.6 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 218.5 | $0.973 | $212.6 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 213.88 | $0.994 | $212.6 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 213.88 | $0.995 | $212.81 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?No | buy | 214.74 | $0.991 | $212.81 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 216.27 | $0.984 | $212.81 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 214.96 | $0.990 | $212.81 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 214.96 | $0.991 | $213.03 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 214.32 | $0.994 | $213.03 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 214.32 | $0.995 | $213.25 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 214.54 | $0.994 | $213.25 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 73.69 | $0.998 | $73.54 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 73.69 | $0.999 | $73.62 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 80.9 | $0.910 | $73.62 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | sell | 74.52 | $0.988 | $73.63 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 74.53 | $0.989 | $73.71 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 75 | $0.900 | $67.5 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 71.47 | $0.984 | $70.33 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 71.47 | $0.985 | $70.4 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31?No | buy | 84.28 | $0.871 | $73.4 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 25?No | buy | 44.89 | $0.999 | $44.85 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on November 24?No | buy | 44.84 | $0.999 | $44.8 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 22?No | buy | 41.54 | $0.999 | $41.5 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on November 19?No | buy | 42.84 | $0.999 | $42.8 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Pepe ETF in 2025?No | sell | 42.08 | $0.970 | $40.82 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Pepe ETF in 2025?No | buy | 42.09 | $0.986 | $41.5 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?Yes | sell | 47.36 | $0.940 | $44.52 | Nov 16, 2025 |
| Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?Yes | buy | 47.37 | $0.950 | $45 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on November 14?No | buy | 20.42 | $0.999 | $20.4 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on November 13?No | buy | 20.85 | $0.993 | $20.7 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Stars vs. Senators: O/U 5.5Over | buy | 39.22 | $0.550 | $21.57 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?No | buy | 42.08 | $0.998 | $42 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Real Madrid vs. Barcelona: O/U 3.5Under | sell | 31.7 | $0.070 | $2.22 | Oct 26, 2025 |