Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.971 | $1 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 1.01 |
| $0.993 |
| $1.01 |
| +$0.01 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 1.02 | $0.976 | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 1.02 | $0.983 | $1 | -$0 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | -$0 |
 Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? | No | 1.02 | $0.982 | $0.99 | -$0.01 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 1.15 | $0.870 | $0.83 | -$0.17 |
| buy |
| 1.02 |
| $0.984 |
| $1 |
| Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.983 | $1 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.976 | $1 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.982 | $1 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.968 | $1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Turkey in March?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Yemen in March?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 34°C or higher on March 6?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on March 6?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Rabi Lamichhane be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 6?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 6?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Parker Posey win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.968 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.983 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.982 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will "The Night Agent: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?Yes | sell | 13.28 | $0.101 | $1.34 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?Yes | buy | 13.29 | $0.075 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will "The Rip" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (February 3)Yes | buy | 5.55 | $0.901 | $5 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?Yes | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | sell | 5.5K | $0.998 | $5.49K | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | sell | 5.5K | $0.998 | $5.49K | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | sell | 1K | $0.981 | $981 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | sell | 1K | $0.981 | $981 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | buy | 1K | $0.999 | $999 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | buy | 9K | $0.999 | $8.99K | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | buy | 1K | $0.999 | $999 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | buy | 2K | $0.982 | $1.96K | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 2K | $0.990 | $1.98K | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 3K | $0.990 | $2.97K | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 8K | $0.985 | $7.88K | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 8K | $0.986 | $7.89K | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 5K | $0.991 | $4.96K | Feb 2, 2026 |