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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.5 | $0.966 | $0.49 | +$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No | sell | 77 | $0.954 | $73.46 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No| buy |
| 77 |
| $0.961 |
| $74 |
| Jun 24, 2026 |
Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | sell | 159 | $0.800 | $127.2 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 182 | $0.800 | $145.6 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No | sell | 146 | $0.810 | $118.26 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No | buy | 146 | $0.800 | $116.8 | Jun 23, 2026 |
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.160 | $0.32 | Jun 22, 2026 |
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 171 | $0.830 | $141.93 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 171 | $0.830 | $141.93 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?No | sell | 138 | $0.940 | $129.72 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?No | buy | 138 | $0.910 | $125.58 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 147 | $0.937 | $137.74 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 147 | $0.939 | $137.99 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 141 | $0.976 | $137.62 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 218.03 | $0.120 | $26.16 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 172 | $0.120 | $20.64 | Jun 18, 2026 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 172 | $0.090 | $15.48 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 143 | $0.935 | $133.71 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 27 | $0.934 | $25.22 | Jun 17, 2026 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 89 | $0.920 | $81.88 | Jun 17, 2026 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 89 | $0.920 | $81.88 | Jun 17, 2026 |
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 159 | $0.064 | $10.18 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 156 | $0.420 | $65.52 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 342 | $0.410 | $140.22 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 212 | $0.600 | $127.2 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 212 | $0.600 | $127.2 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 351 | $0.400 | $140.4 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 351 | $0.390 | $136.89 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 23 | $0.440 | $10.12 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 178 | $0.430 | $76.54 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 318 | $0.430 | $136.74 | Jun 14, 2026 |
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 146 | $0.937 | $136.8 | Jun 13, 2026 |
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 146 | $0.939 | $137.09 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 22 | $0.370 | $8.14 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 162 | $0.470 | $76.14 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 157 | $0.450 | $70.65 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes | sell | 69.87 | $0.210 | $14.67 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes | buy | 86 | $0.218 | $18.75 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.200 | $8.2 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 143 | $0.984 | $140.71 | Jun 10, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.680 | $5.44 | Jun 9, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No | buy | 163 | $0.330 | $53.79 | Jun 8, 2026 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | sell | 125 | $0.810 | $101.25 | Jun 6, 2026 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 144 | $0.810 | $116.64 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 238 | $0.043 | $10.23 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 146 | $0.976 | $142.5 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 21.3 | $0.977 | $20.81 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | sell | 145 | $0.983 | $142.54 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 94 | $0.982 | $92.31 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | sell | 159 | $0.987 | $156.93 | Jun 3, 2026 |