Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 0.71 | $0.043 | $0.01 | -$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 67 | $0.640 | $42.88 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 4 |
| $0.971 |
| $3.88 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 49 | $0.870 | $42.63 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No | sell | 23 | $0.800 | $18.4 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No | buy | 23 | $0.790 | $18.17 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 41 | $0.938 | $38.46 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 44 | $0.955 | $42.02 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 44 | $0.954 | $41.98 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.330 | $23.1 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 45 | $0.935 | $42.08 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 45 | $0.935 | $42.08 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 51 | $0.690 | $35.19 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 62 | $0.630 | $39.06 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 62 | $0.630 | $39.06 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.260 | $10.4 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.270 | $10.8 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.015 | $1.2 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 12 | $0.972 | $11.66 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 37 | $0.968 | $35.82 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 34 | $0.540 | $18.36 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 74 | $0.540 | $39.96 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 41 | $0.954 | $39.11 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 41 | $0.953 | $39.07 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 74 | $0.320 | $23.68 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 74 | $0.320 | $23.68 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 81 | $0.030 | $2.43 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 34 | $0.973 | $33.08 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 34 | $0.943 | $32.06 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 79 | $0.310 | $24.49 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.320 | $2.56 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.310 | $5.58 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 79 | $0.490 | $38.71 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.530 | $1.06 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 55 | $0.630 | $34.65 | May 31, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 55 | $0.630 | $34.65 | May 31, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 36 | $0.520 | $18.72 | May 31, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 38 | $0.500 | $19 | May 30, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.470 | $18.8 | May 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.470 | $18.8 | May 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 63 | $0.550 | $34.65 | May 29, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 54 | $0.710 | $38.34 | May 29, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 54 | $0.710 | $38.34 | May 29, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | buy | 86 | $0.151 | $12.99 | May 29, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 37 | $0.912 | $33.74 | May 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 64 | $0.520 | $33.28 | May 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.590 | $11.8 | May 20, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.925 | $37 | May 20, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | sell | 43 | $0.870 | $37.41 | May 19, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 75 | $0.550 | $41.25 | May 18, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 75 | $0.550 | $41.25 | May 18, 2026 |