Latest trade
Jul 19, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 20, 8:13 PM UTC.
Analytics
FlickeringBolt is down $1.61 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 47 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2025-07-30 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jul 19, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 20, 8:13 PM UTC.
$1.46 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 40 markets; 74.0% were buys. They run from Feb 2, 2025 UTC to Jul 19, 2025 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be less than 35% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?No | sell | 1.54 | $0.985 | $1.52 | Jul 19, 2025 UTC |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2025-07-30 17:48 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-20 20:13 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-20 20:13 UTC
polymarket positions
49 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2025-07-30 17:48 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $14.4 and losing ones cost $8.22 across 47 settled positions. 78.7% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $2.98 on “Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?” (Yes); the largest loss, $1.93 on “Will 'Espresso' win Record of the Year?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 19 Jul 2025. It has traded 50 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 1?No| sell |
| 1.61 |
| $0.998 |
| $1.61 |
| Jul 19, 2025 UTC |
 Will Andrew Cuomo's first round margin of victory be less than 5%?Yes | sell | 2.59 | $0.997 | $2.58 | Jul 19, 2025 UTC |
 Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?Yes | sell | 4.3 | $0.750 | $3.22 | Jul 19, 2025 UTC |
 Will Fluminense beat Al Hilal in regulation time?No | buy | 2.69 | $0.700 | $1.88 | Jul 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.750 | $1.83 | Jul 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will Andrew Cuomo's first round margin of victory be less than 5%?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.999 | $1.35 | Jul 4, 2025 UTC |
 Will the price of Ethereum be between $2300 and $2400 on July 4?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.999 | $1.49 | Jul 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2200 and $2300 on July 4?No | buy | 1.55 | $0.999 | $1.55 | Jul 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will Palmeiras beat Chelsea in regulation time?No | buy | 2.35 | $0.770 | $1.81 | Jul 4, 2025 UTC |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $103K and $105K on July 4?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.997 | $1.22 | Jul 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will Fluminense beat Al Hilal in regulation time?No | buy | 1.63 | $0.680 | $1.11 | Jul 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2500 on July 4 at 5PM ET?No | buy | 1.94 | $0.945 | $1.83 | Jul 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be less than 35% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.999 | $1.54 | Jul 4, 2025 UTC |
 Will global temperature increase by between 0.95-0.99ºC in June 2025?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.999 | $1.96 | Jul 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2400 and $2500 on July 4?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.968 | $1.44 | Jul 4, 2025 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump issue fewer than 10 executive orders in June?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.999 | $1.43 | Jul 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will Andrew Cuomo's first round margin of victory be less than 5%?Yes | buy | 1.24 | $0.999 | $1.24 | Jul 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?Yes | buy | 1.86 | $0.720 | $1.34 | Jul 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will Fluminense beat Al Hilal in regulation time?No | buy | 2.25 | $0.680 | $1.53 | Jul 4, 2025 UTC |
 Will Columbus Crew beat Vancouver Whitecaps?Yes | buy | 2.69 | $0.540 | $1.45 | Jun 14, 2025 UTC |
 Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 Boss Open?No | buy | 2.23 | $0.640 | $1.43 | Jun 14, 2025 UTC |
 Will Benfica beat Boca Juniors?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.580 | $1.76 | Jun 14, 2025 UTC |
| Will Palmeiras beat FC Porto?No | buy | 2.18 | $0.650 | $1.42 | Jun 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will Minnesota United FC beat San Diego FC?No | buy | 2.65 | $0.540 | $1.43 | Jun 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will Spain U21 beat Romania U21?Yes | buy | 1.53 | $0.730 | $1.12 | Jun 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will Costa Rica beat Suriname?Yes | buy | 1.98 | $0.580 | $1.15 | Jun 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2600 on June 17?No | buy | 2 | $0.750 | $1.5 | Jun 12, 2025 UTC |
| Will FC Porto win Group A at the FIFA Club World Cup?No | buy | 1.88 | $0.600 | $1.13 | Jun 12, 2025 UTC |
 Will Cooper Flagg be the first pick of the 2025 NBA Draft?Yes | buy | 1.4 | $0.991 | $1.39 | Jun 12, 2025 UTC |
| Will FC Porto win Group A at the FIFA Club World Cup?No | buy | 2.66 | $0.610 | $1.62 | Jun 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 1?No | buy | 1.62 | $0.995 | $1.61 | Jun 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 31.21 | $0.003 | $0.09 | Feb 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will Real Madrid win La Liga?No | sell | 2.42 | $0.590 | $1.43 | Feb 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?No | sell | 3.64 | $0.280 | $1.02 | Feb 26, 2025 UTC |
 Liverpool wins the Premier League?Yes | sell | 4.11 | $0.917 | $3.77 | Feb 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?No | sell | 2.21 | $0.009 | $0.02 | Feb 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 127.77 | $0.003 | $0.38 | Feb 26, 2025 UTC |
 Mike Huckabee confirmed as ambassador to Israel?Yes | sell | 1.29 | $0.981 | $1.27 | Feb 26, 2025 UTC |
 Conservatives win majority in Ontario election?Yes | sell | 1.68 | $0.989 | $1.66 | Feb 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?Yes | sell | 46.85 | $0.109 | $5.11 | Feb 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump and Elon say "Kickback" during their Feb 18 interview?Yes | buy | 1.71 | $0.860 | $1.47 | Feb 15, 2025 UTC |
 Auburn vs. VanderbiltAuburn | buy | 1.71 | $0.970 | $1.66 | Feb 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will the highest temperature in London be between 42-43°F on February 12?Yes | buy | 1.8 | $0.660 | $1.19 | Feb 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will DOGE cut $1B from USAID before March?Yes | buy | 2.16 | $0.820 | $1.77 | Feb 10, 2025 UTC |
| Conservatives win majority in Ontario election?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.972 | $1.64 | Feb 10, 2025 UTC |
 Carabao Cup: Arsenal vs. Newcastle (To Advance)Newcastle | buy | 1.33 | $0.830 | $1.1 | Feb 3, 2025 UTC |
 Will Saquon Barkley win NFL Offensive Player of the Year?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.993 | $1.66 | Feb 2, 2025 UTC |
 Carabao Cup Semifinal: Tottenham vs. Liverpool (To Advance)Liverpool | buy | 1.75 | $0.730 | $1.28 | Feb 2, 2025 UTC |
 Dogecoin above $0.34 on February 7?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.800 | $1.27 | Feb 2, 2025 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.