Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.9%. Yes opened at 93.5% on 8 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 8 Feb 2025 to 1 Mar 2025, the highest close was 99.9% on 1 Mar 2025 and the lowest 93.5% on 8 Feb 2025. $39.03K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 4:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 8 Feb 2025 – 1 Mar 2025, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Feb 2025 | 93.5% |
| 1 Mar 2025 | 99.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| boooncov | No | 7K |
| BabyYoda12 | No | 5K |
| ruphail1 | No | 1.56K |
| PolyDump | No | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The 2025 Ontario parliamentary elections are scheduled to take place on February 27, 2025 to elect the 44th Parliament of Ontario. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario wins a majority of seats (63 or more) in the Legislative Assembly of Ontario as a result of the next Ontario parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election aren't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Ontario government (e.g. via https://results.elections.on.ca/en/results-overview).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/conservatives-win-majority-in-ontario-election
| jsonnode | Yes | 1.01 |
| THRZ | No | 0.04 |
| neverfeesplease | Yes | 0.03 |
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