Latest trade
Aug 27, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 9:50 PM UTC.
Analytics
Definitive-Fringe is down $510.92 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 30 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-08-25 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Aug 27, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 9:50 PM UTC.
$23.92 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 33 markets; 84.0% were buys. They run from Jan 30, 2026 UTC to Aug 27, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | Yes | 20 | $0.170 | $1.9 | -$1.5 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ryan Bolender win the 2026 Cambridge mayoral election?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.060 | $0.42 | Aug 27, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-08-25 09:21 UTC
Polymarket public position response
2 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 21:50 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 21:50 UTC
polymarket positions
31 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-25 09:21 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.06K and losing ones cost $189.13 across 30 settled positions. 60% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $180.27 on “Pelicans vs. Kings” (Kings); the largest loss, $100.8 on “Heat vs. Hornets” (Heat).
Its most recent trade on record was on 27 Aug 2026. It has traded 42 markets. Its open positions are worth $1.98 across 2 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 20 |
| $0.060 |
| $0.08 |
| -$1.12 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.060 |
| $0.6 |
| Aug 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ryan Bolender win the 2026 Cambridge mayoral election?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.060 | $0.18 | Aug 27, 2026 UTC |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.170 | $3.4 | Aug 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by December 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.320 | $6.4 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No | sell | 10 | $0.985 | $9.85 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by December 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.530 | $10.6 | Jul 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.962 | $9.62 | Jul 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.290 | $5.8 | Jul 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 20 | $0.700 | $14 | Jul 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.870 | $17.4 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.140 | $2.8 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| GMGN FDV above $4B one day after launchNo | sell | 14.09 | $0.974 | $13.72 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| GMGN FDV above $4B one day after launchNo | buy | 1.01 | $0.970 | $0.98 | May 30, 2026 UTC |
| GMGN FDV above $4B one day after launchNo | buy | 1.01 | $0.970 | $0.98 | May 30, 2026 UTC |
| GMGN FDV above $4B one day after launchNo | buy | 1.01 | $0.970 | $0.98 | May 30, 2026 UTC |
| GMGN FDV above $4B one day after launchNo | buy | 1.01 | $0.970 | $0.98 | May 30, 2026 UTC |
| GMGN FDV above $4B one day after launchNo | buy | 0.05 | $0.970 | $0.05 | May 30, 2026 UTC |
| GMGN FDV above $4B one day after launchNo | buy | 10 | $0.970 | $9.7 | May 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 26 | $0.994 | $25.84 | May 28, 2026 UTC |
 Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No | sell | 150 | $0.987 | $148.08 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
| Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 150 | $0.988 | $148.2 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
 Rockets vs. LakersRockets | buy | 783.68 | $0.660 | $517.23 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
| Kings vs. WarriorsWarriors | buy | 578.51 | $0.900 | $520.66 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
| Cavaliers vs. GrizzliesCavaliers | buy | 547.03 | $0.910 | $497.8 | Apr 6, 2026 UTC |
| Pelicans vs. KingsKings | buy | 283.85 | $0.370 | $105.02 | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
| Pelicans vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers | buy | 255.32 | $0.700 | $178.72 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
| Celtics vs. HeatCeltics | buy | 225.31 | $0.660 | $148.7 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
| Trail Blazers vs. ClippersTrail Blazers | buy | 196.64 | $0.320 | $62.92 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
| 76ers vs. Heat76ers | buy | 211.86 | $0.580 | $122.88 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
| Kings vs. NetsKings | buy | 260 | $0.510 | $132.6 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
| Pistons vs. TimberwolvesPistons | buy | 266 | $0.450 | $119.7 | Mar 28, 2026 UTC |
| Pelicans vs. KnicksPelicans | buy | 266 | $0.240 | $63.84 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
| Warriors vs. MavericksWarriors | buy | 266 | $0.550 | $146.3 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Heat vs. RocketsHeat | buy | 250 | $0.450 | $112.5 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Knicks vs. NetsNets | buy | 260 | $0.060 | $15.6 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Clippers vs. PelicansClippers | buy | 295 | $0.480 | $141.6 | Mar 19, 2026 UTC |
| Trail Blazers vs. PacersPacers | buy | 145 | $0.180 | $26.1 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
| Heat vs. HornetsHeat | buy | 252 | $0.400 | $100.8 | Mar 17, 2026 UTC |
| Magic vs. HawksMagic | buy | 205 | $0.450 | $92.25 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
| Magic vs. HeatHeat | buy | 225 | $0.600 | $135 | Mar 14, 2026 UTC |
| Cavaliers vs. MavericksCavaliers | buy | 220 | $0.850 | $187 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
| Wizards vs. MagicWizards | buy | 125 | $0.109 | $13.63 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Knicks vs. JazzKnicks | buy | 200 | $0.879 | $175.8 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Nets vs. PistonsNets | buy | 170 | $0.119 | $20.23 | Mar 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.550 | $22 | Mar 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.530 | $10.6 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.530 | $10.6 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 179.62 | $0.930 | $167.05 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 179.62 | $0.850 | $152.68 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.