Analytics
Resolved Yes on 9 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.2%. Yes opened at 10% on 25 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 46 daily closes on record from 25 Jul 2026 to 9 Sep 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.2% on 9 Sep 2026 and the lowest 10% on 25 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 38 points up, to 92.3% on 2 Sep 2026. $4.64K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 10, 4:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 46 points, 25 Jul 2026 – 9 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jul 2026 | 10.0% |
| 9 Sep 2026 | 99.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Attached-Prairie | No | 325 |
| FxnEdge | No | 305 |
| DominiChill | No | 199.11 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in a UK parliamentary constituency is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-uk-by-election-called-by-20260724183901572
New to prediction markets?
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| Celebrated-Howard | No | 5.1 |
| gonnakilmyslf | No | 2 |
