Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 12.19 |
| $0.082 |
| $1 |
| Feb 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETDown | buy | 33.32 | $0.030 | $1 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETUp | buy | 33.32 | $0.030 | $1 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 21?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 21?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 12PM ETUp | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 20?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 20?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 20?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 20?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 January 19-25?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 19?Yes | buy | 1.07 | $0.938 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 19?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 19?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during the Detroit speech on Tuesday?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by January 31?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.409 | $1 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 2.48 | $0.404 | $1 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.032 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 30?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will Base launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.973 | $1 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Nov 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 21-28?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Mar 26, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by March 31?No | sell | 2.94 | $0.961 | $2.83 | Mar 26, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by March 31?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Mar 10, 2025 |
 Will Solana dip to $130 in March?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 Will Kanye launch a coin in February?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.966 | $1 | Feb 28, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk tweet 800 or more times February 7-14?Yes | buy | 1.17 | $0.853 | $1 | Feb 12, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 800 times Feb 7-14?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Feb 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jan 15, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?No | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Will US annual inflation be 2.9% or greater in December?Yes | sell | 1.19 | $0.680 | $0.81 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.043 | $1 | Dec 25, 2024 |
| Will US annual inflation be 2.9% or greater in December?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?Yes | buy | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 Chopsticks catch SpaceX's 7th Starship Super Heavy?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Dec 3, 2024 |