Latest trade
Apr 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 15, 3:31 AM UTC.
Analytics
sibila has made $1.07 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 49 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-14 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Apr 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 15, 3:31 AM UTC.
$34.97 median trade
Its latest 25 trades covered 25 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Feb 11, 2026 UTC to Apr 24, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 120.99 | $0.999 | $120.87 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
|
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-14 23:32 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-15 03:31 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
25 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-15 03:31 UTC
polymarket profile
247 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-15 03:00 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Last checked just now.
Essential
Winning positions brought in $101.07 and losing ones cost $68 across 49 settled positions. 83.7% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $15 on “Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 26?” (Yes); the largest loss, $15 on “Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 26?” (No).
It first traded on 11 Feb 2026 and most recently on 24 Apr 2026, 173 days ago. It has traded 28 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 120.87 |
| $0.999 |
| $120.75 |
| Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | buy | 120.75 | $0.999 | $120.63 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Yes | buy | 120.63 | $0.999 | $120.51 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 45.51 | $0.999 | $45.46 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.999 | $74.93 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be 2.6%?No | buy | 35 | $0.999 | $34.97 | Mar 4, 2026 UTC |
 GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.999 | $74.93 | Mar 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.997 | $5.98 | Mar 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 5.45 | $0.997 | $5.43 | Mar 1, 2026 UTC |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.999 | $34.97 | Mar 1, 2026 UTC |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.999 | $34.97 | Mar 1, 2026 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.999 | $34.97 | Mar 1, 2026 UTC |
 Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 44.13 | $0.999 | $44.09 | Feb 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will SpaceX have exactly 7 launches in February?No | buy | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?No | buy | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?No | buy | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?No | buy | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will 50PLUS be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No | buy | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will Volt be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No | buy | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will SGP be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No | buy | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will JA21 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No | buy | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.999 | $34.97 | Feb 12, 2026 UTC |
 Superform FDV above $20M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.999 | $14.99 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?Yes | buy | 68 | $0.999 | $67.93 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.