Analytics
Resolved No on 23 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 25.5% on 8 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 232 daily closes on record from 8 Jul 2025 to 23 Feb 2026, the highest close was 64% on 20 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 14 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 14% on 29 Oct 2025. $1.65M traded over the market's life.
279 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 24, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 232 points, 8 Jul 2025 – 23 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jul 2025 | 25.5% |
| 23 Feb 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 219.36K |
| comon119 | Yes | 106.83K |
| High-Level-Precedence | Yes | 9.85K |
The ruling coalition of the Netherlands collapsed on June 3, 2025. New parliamentary elections are scheduled for October 29. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of the Netherlands following the 2025 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the Netherlands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.worldatlas.com/upload/b7/64/48/shutterstock-606897284.jpg
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-the-netherlands
| Lunar Raven 21B1 | Yes | 4.61K |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 4.23K |
| BjertHa | Yes | 3.44K |
| Zomdifros | Yes | 3.43K |
| kandinsky | Yes | 3.05K |
| lissartter | Yes | 2.69K |
| gravster | Yes | 2.5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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