Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 6.76 | $0.740 | $6.39 | +$1.39 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 6.67 | $0.997 | $6.65 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 2.55 |
| $0.690 |
| $1.76 |
| Apr 4, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?No | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 31?No | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETUp | buy | 2.97 | $0.329 | $0.98 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.410 | $5 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETUp | sell | 1.09 | $0.991 | $1.08 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETUp | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETDown | sell | 5.26 | $0.991 | $5.21 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETDown | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $4.99 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETUp | buy | 3.15 | $0.310 | $0.98 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | buy | 3.99 | $0.501 | $2 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?No | sell | 10.63 | $0.830 | $8.82 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETDown | sell | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETDown | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETDown | buy | 7.7 | $0.129 | $0.99 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETUp | buy | 16.64 | $0.060 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETUp | buy | 11.07 | $0.090 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETUp | buy | 33.32 | $0.030 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | sell | 114.99 | $0.004 | $0.46 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.240 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETDown | sell | 10 | $0.240 | $2.4 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETDown | sell | 10 | $0.999 | $9.99 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETDown | sell | 9.99 | $0.911 | $9.1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETUp | buy | 9.93 | $0.140 | $1.39 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETDown | buy | 9.8 | $0.280 | $2.74 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETDown | buy | 9.96 | $0.100 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETDown | buy | 4.99 | $0.080 | $0.4 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETUp | buy | 7.09 | $0.140 | $0.99 | Feb 25, 2026 |