Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?

Resolved

Yes, settled Apr 5, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$1.4M

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Apr 5, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 5 Apr 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 86% on 2 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 25 daily closes on record from 2 Mar 2026 to 5 Apr 2026 (10 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 100% on 5 Apr 2026 and the lowest 16.8% on 28 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 38% on 22 Mar 2026. $1.37M traded over the market's life.

152 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Apr 6, 1:54 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 25 points, 2 Mar 2026 – 5 Apr 2026

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
23858920848201974929927339401000047477377	No	21.26K
Satisfied-Facsimile	No	15.28K
Mohanad62	No	11.04K

10 of 152 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules