Latest trade
Oct 18, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 5:07 PM UTC.
Analytics
cirnik is down $26.53 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 23 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-18 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 18, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 5:07 PM UTC.
$48.38 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 24 markets; 48.0% were buys. They run from May 8, 2026 UTC to Oct 18, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? | No | 41 | $0.000 | $40.88 | +$40.88 |
 Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?Yes | sell | 54 | $0.960 | $51.84 | 4d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-18 18:45 UTC
Polymarket public position response
2 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 17:07 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 17:07 UTC
polymarket positions
25 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-18 18:45 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $23.48 and losing ones cost $0.05 across 23 settled positions. 95.7% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $2.8 on “Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $0.05 on “Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 18 Oct 2026. It has traded 26 markets. Its open positions are worth $53.51 across 2 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 13.62 |
| $0.940 |
| $12.63 |
| -$0.18 |
| sell |
| 52 |
| $0.960 |
| $49.92 |
| Aug 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 21.99 | $0.960 | $21.11 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 51.25 | $0.984 | $50.43 | Aug 11, 2026 UTC |
 StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?No | sell | 52.02 | $0.952 | $49.52 | Aug 10, 2026 UTC |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 41 | $0.941 | $38.58 | Aug 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 52 | $0.950 | $49.4 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 13.82 | $0.940 | $12.99 | Jul 28, 2026 UTC |
| StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?No | buy | 52.02 | $0.937 | $48.74 | Jul 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.18 | $0.940 | $7.69 | Jul 27, 2026 UTC |
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?Yes | buy | 54 | $0.931 | $50.27 | Jul 27, 2026 UTC |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 51.25 | $0.974 | $49.92 | Jul 26, 2026 UTC |
 Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?No | sell | 52 | $0.985 | $51.22 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Consensys IPO by June 30 2026?No | sell | 15.73 | $0.996 | $15.67 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Consensys IPO by June 30 2026?No | sell | 35.27 | $0.996 | $35.13 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?No | buy | 52 | $0.962 | $50.02 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?No | buy | 52 | $0.961 | $49.97 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Consensys IPO by June 30 2026?No | buy | 51 | $0.978 | $49.88 | May 31, 2026 UTC |
 Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 52.99 | $0.940 | $49.81 | May 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 41.45 | $0.966 | $40.04 | May 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 10.55 | $0.966 | $10.19 | May 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?No | sell | 51 | $0.998 | $50.9 | May 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 52 | $0.967 | $50.28 | May 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 35.58 | $0.930 | $33.09 | May 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 17.41 | $0.930 | $16.19 | May 25, 2026 UTC |
 Iran leadership change by May 31?No | buy | 12 | $0.973 | $11.68 | May 25, 2026 UTC |
 Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?No | sell | 49 | $0.910 | $44.59 | May 22, 2026 UTC |
| Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?No | sell | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | May 22, 2026 UTC |
| Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?No | sell | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | May 22, 2026 UTC |
| Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?No | sell | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | May 22, 2026 UTC |
| Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?No | sell | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | May 22, 2026 UTC |
| Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?No | sell | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | May 22, 2026 UTC |
| Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?No | sell | 0.5 | $0.910 | $0.45 | May 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?No | sell | 56 | $0.900 | $50.4 | May 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?No | buy | 2 | $0.980 | $1.96 | May 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?No | buy | 49 | $0.980 | $48.02 | May 21, 2026 UTC |
 US bank failure by May 31?No | buy | 40.02 | $0.955 | $38.22 | May 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | sell | 2.07 | $0.976 | $2.02 | May 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | sell | 47.92 | $0.976 | $46.77 | May 21, 2026 UTC |
| Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?No | buy | 55 | $0.910 | $50.05 | May 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?No | buy | 56 | $0.890 | $49.84 | May 19, 2026 UTC |
 Trump kiss by May 31?No | buy | 55.5 | $0.900 | $49.95 | May 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.920 | $46 | May 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 52 | $0.966 | $50.23 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | sell | 52.2 | $0.979 | $51.1 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 51.5 | $0.986 | $50.78 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 52 | $0.989 | $51.43 | May 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?No | buy | 13.62 | $0.940 | $12.81 | May 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 52.5 | $0.948 | $49.77 | May 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 51.5 | $0.970 | $49.96 | May 8, 2026 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.