Analytics
holmman has made $184.41 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 37 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026? | No | 36.36 | $0.550 | $26.55 | +$6.55 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-24 06:02 UTC
Polymarket public position response
13 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 20:41 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-24 20:41 UTC
polymarket positions
38 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-24 06:02 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $924.5 and losing ones cost $3.59 across 37 settled positions. 94.6% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $223.76 on “Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?” (No); the largest loss, $3.11 on “Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?” (No).
It has traded 106 markets. Its open positions are worth $166.7 across 13 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 31.75 |
| $0.630 |
| $24.6 |
| +$4.6 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | No | 46.51 | $0.430 | $20.7 | +$0.7 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026? | No | 25 | $0.600 | $18.88 | +$3.88 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? | Yes | 136.36 | $0.110 | $15 | +$0 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026? | No | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10.76 | +$0.76 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? | No | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10.56 | +$0.56 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 28.57 | $0.350 | $9.43 | -$0.57 |
 Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | No | 22.47 | $0.445 | $9.42 | -$0.58 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | Yes | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5.42 | +$0.42 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 21.6 | $0.463 | $5.39 | -$4.61 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 133.33 | $0.150 | $5 | -$15 |
| Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | $0 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
