Analytics
holmman has made $184.41 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 37 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026? | No | 36.36 | $0.550 | $26.91 | +$6.91 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-24 06:02 UTC
Polymarket public position response
13 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 17:31 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-24 17:31 UTC
polymarket positions
38 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-24 06:02 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $924.5 and losing ones cost $3.59 across 37 settled positions. 94.6% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $223.76 on “Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?” (No); the largest loss, $3.11 on “Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?” (No).
It has traded 100 markets. Its open positions are worth $167.6 across 13 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 31.75 |
| $0.630 |
| $26.51 |
| +$6.51 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026? | No | 25 | $0.600 | $20 | +$5 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | No | 46.51 | $0.430 | $19.53 | -$0.47 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? | Yes | 136.36 | $0.110 | $14.32 | -$0.68 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026? | No | 11.63 | $0.860 | $11.03 | +$1.03 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? | No | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10.57 | +$0.57 |
 Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | No | 22.47 | $0.445 | $9.81 | -$0.19 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 28.57 | $0.350 | $9.71 | -$0.29 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 21.6 | $0.463 | $5.36 | -$4.64 |
| Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 13.89 | $0.360 | $4.79 | -$0.21 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | Yes | 83.33 | $0.060 | $4.58 | -$0.42 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 133.33 | $0.150 | $4.47 | -$15.53 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
