Latest trade
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 3:08 PM UTC.
Analytics
holmman has made $184.41 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 37 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 3:08 PM UTC.
$10 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 45 markets; 94.0% were buys. They run from Jul 3, 2026 UTC to Oct 23, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026? | No | 36.36 | $0.550 | $27.45 | +$7.45 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?No | buy | 36.36 | $0.550 | $20 | 1d ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-24 06:02 UTC
Polymarket public position response
7 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 15:08 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 15:08 UTC
polymarket positions
38 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-24 06:02 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $924.5 and losing ones cost $3.59 across 37 settled positions. 94.6% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $223.76 on “Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?” (No); the largest loss, $3.11 on “Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 23 Oct 2026. It has traded 100 markets. Its open positions are worth $106.26 across 7 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 31.75 |
| $0.630 |
| $27.3 |
| +$7.3 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026? | No | 25 | $0.600 | $19.88 | +$4.88 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026? | No | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10.86 | +$0.86 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? | No | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10.56 | +$0.56 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 21.6 | $0.463 | $5.35 | -$4.65 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 133.33 | $0.150 | $4.87 | -$15.13 |
| buy |
| 25 |
| $0.600 |
| $15 |
| 1d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?No | buy | 31.75 | $0.630 | $20 | 1d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?No | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | 1d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | 1d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?No | sell | 40.35 | $0.710 | $28.65 | 5d ago |
 Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?No | buy | 37.5 | $0.400 | $15 | 12d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?No | buy | 34.09 | $0.440 | $15 | 12d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?No | buy | 20.67 | $0.726 | $15 | 12d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | 16d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?No | buy | 42.55 | $0.470 | $20 | 16d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?No | buy | 28.99 | $0.690 | $20 | 16d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?No | buy | 25.32 | $0.790 | $20 | 16d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?No | buy | 18.29 | $0.820 | $15 | 16d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 8, 2026?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | 16d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?No | buy | 90.49 | $0.166 | $15 | 16d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?No | buy | 62.2 | $0.402 | $25 | 16d ago |
 Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?No | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | 16d ago |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | 16d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?No | buy | 40.35 | $0.124 | $5 | 23d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 83.33 | $0.059 | $4.89 | 23d ago |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 101.4 | $0.099 | $10 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 21.6 | $0.463 | $10 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.020 | $10 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.005 | $5 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 593.1 | $0.017 | $10 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.150 | $20 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Yes | buy | 34.25 | $0.730 | $25 | Sep 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026?No | buy | 26.67 | $0.750 | $20 | Sep 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?No | buy | 113.8 | $0.879 | $100 | Sep 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 80.89 | $0.124 | $10 | Sep 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?No | sell | 420.24 | $0.567 | $238.28 | Sep 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?No | buy | 128.2 | $0.078 | $10 | Sep 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?No | buy | 420.25 | $0.024 | $10 | Sep 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?No | buy | 75.26 | $0.066 | $5 | Sep 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? | buy | 201.76 | $0.170 | $34.3 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?No | buy | 15.87 | $0.630 | $10 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will England win on 2026-07-05?No | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?No | buy | 21.28 | $0.470 | $10 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? AND Will England win on 2026-07-05? | buy | 102.25 | $0.191 | $19.52 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.56K | $0.032 | $50 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?No | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?No | buy | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will France win on 2026-07-04?No | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?Yes | buy | 14.49 | $0.690 | $10 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.