Latest trade
Jul 17, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 8:13 AM UTC.
Analytics
Orange-Shallows is down $152.69 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 11 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-19 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jul 17, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 8:13 AM UTC.
$4 median trade
Its latest 43 trades covered 36 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Feb 18, 2026 UTC to Jul 17, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? | Yes | 164.44 | $0.097 | $13.16 | -$2.84 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)Dricus Du Plessis | buy | 5.8 | $0.690 | $4 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-19 03:30 UTC
Polymarket public position response
4 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 08:13 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
43 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 08:13 UTC
polymarket positions
12 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-19 03:30 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $140.16 and losing ones cost $125 across 11 settled positions. 81.8% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $49.73 on “Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?” (Yes); the largest loss, $100 on “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 17 Jul 2026. It has traded 36 markets. Its open positions are worth $19.89 across 4 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 196.09 |
| $0.082 |
| $3.92 |
| -$12.08 |
 Will an independent win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026? | Yes | 98.35 | $0.041 | $1.77 | -$2.23 |
 StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch? | Yes | 160.63 | $0.025 | $1.04 | -$2.96 |
| buy |
| 4.94 |
| $0.810 |
| $4 |
| Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?Yes | buy | 63.16 | $0.190 | $12 | May 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?Yes | buy | 62.02 | $0.193 | $12 | May 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?Yes | buy | 119.01 | $0.101 | $12 | May 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?Yes | buy | 70.59 | $0.170 | $12 | May 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be greater than $170M at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 223.3 | $0.054 | $12 | May 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be between $125M and $140M at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.042 | $12 | May 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.100 | $12 | May 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 146.26 | $0.082 | $12 | May 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 173.91 | $0.023 | $4 | May 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?Yes | buy | 48 | $0.250 | $12 | May 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?Yes | buy | 44.44 | $0.270 | $12 | May 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12?No | buy | 23.08 | $0.520 | $12 | May 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19?No | buy | 27.27 | $0.440 | $12 | May 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will an independent win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 98.35 | $0.041 | $4 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
| StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 160.63 | $0.025 | $4 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 44.44 | $0.090 | $4 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 49.83 | $0.080 | $4 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
 Tigres de la UANL vs. Mazatlán FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo | buy | 6.95 | $0.560 | $3.89 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
| FC Juárez vs. Atlético San Luis: Both Teams to ScoreNo | buy | 9.41 | $0.410 | $3.86 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
 Liverpool FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo | buy | 9.19 | $0.420 | $3.86 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
| UFC Fight Night: Lucas Brennan vs. Francis Marshall (Lightweight, Prelims)Lucas Brennan | buy | 19.04 | $0.200 | $3.81 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
| FC Juárez vs. Atlético San Luis: Both Teams to ScoreNo | buy | 9.19 | $0.420 | $3.86 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
| Liverpool FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo | buy | 9.19 | $0.420 | $3.86 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
| Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club León FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo | buy | 9.41 | $0.410 | $3.86 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
| UFC Fight Night: Lucas Brennan vs. Francis Marshall (Lightweight, Prelims)Lucas Brennan | buy | 19.04 | $0.200 | $3.81 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
 Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Celtics | buy | 1.94 | $0.500 | $0.97 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
| Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Celtics | buy | 1.94 | $0.500 | $0.97 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
| Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Celtics | buy | 5.82 | $0.500 | $2.91 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
| Magic vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylineMagic | buy | 10.95 | $0.351 | $3.84 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
| Magic vs. PistonsMagic | buy | 16.59 | $0.230 | $3.82 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
| Suns vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineSuns | buy | 18.14 | $0.210 | $3.81 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
| Suns vs. ThunderSuns | buy | 47.24 | $0.080 | $3.78 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
| Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo | buy | 9.88 | $0.390 | $3.85 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
| Pumas de la UNAM vs. FC Juárez: Both Teams to ScoreNo | buy | 9.19 | $0.420 | $3.86 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
| 76ers vs. Celtics: 1H Moneyline76ers | buy | 13.67 | $0.280 | $3.83 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
| 76ers vs. Celtics76ers | buy | 31.57 | $0.120 | $3.79 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
| Magic vs. PistonsMagic | buy | 47.72 | $0.240 | $11.45 | Apr 19, 2026 UTC |
| Suns vs. ThunderSuns | buy | 34.42 | $0.110 | $3.79 | Apr 19, 2026 UTC |
| Hawks vs. KnicksHawks | buy | 3 | $0.320 | $0.96 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.56K | $0.008 | $100 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.050 | $25 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 86 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.