Analytics
Resolved Francis Marshall on 26 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Francis Marshall at 100%. The Lucas Brennan side opened at 18.5% on 22 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 22 Apr 2026 to 26 Apr 2026, the highest close was 20% on 23 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 26 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 0.1% on 26 Apr 2026. $177.7K traded over the market's life.
62 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 27, 12:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Lucas Brennan price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 22 Apr 2026 – 26 Apr 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Lucas Brennan price |
|---|---|
| 22 Apr 2026 | 18.5% |
| 26 Apr 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Smoggy-Horn | Lucas Brennan | 2.35K |
| damma | Lucas Brennan | 1.57K |
| ic4cream | Lucas Brennan | 1.15K |
| hi774c | Lucas Brennan | 1.06K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Lucas Brennan" if Lucas Brennan is officially declared the winner of the fight against Francis Marshall at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026. It will resolve to "Francis Marshall" if Francis Marshall is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-lbrenn-fra8-2026-04-25
| Keen Falcon D40C | Lucas Brennan | 1.01K |
| Fayez111 | Lucas Brennan | 970.06 |
| diamondhands-420 | Lucas Brennan | 970.03 |
| Kadetka | Lucas Brennan | 929.81 |
| Gorgeous-Witch | Lucas Brennan | 887.82 |
| BoomLaLa | Lucas Brennan | 777.5 |
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