Latest trade
Dec 8, 2024 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 1:01 PM UTC.
Analytics
EarlyRetirement is down $501.9 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 12 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2025-05-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Dec 8, 2024 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 1:01 PM UTC.
$30.15 median trade
Its latest 46 trades covered 14 markets; 60.9% were buys. They run from Nov 27, 2024 UTC to Dec 8, 2024 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Pantoja vs. AsakuraAsakura | buy | 128.9 | $0.310 | $39.96 | Dec 8, 2024 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2025-05-01 08:54 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 13:01 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
46 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 13:01 UTC
polymarket positions
13 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2025-05-01 08:54 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $248.06 and losing ones cost $262.5 across 12 settled positions. 25% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $235.85 on “Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?” (No); the largest loss, $79.16 on “Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 8 Dec 2024. It has traded 14 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 40 |
| $0.999 |
| $39.96 |
| Dec 8, 2024 UTC |
| Pantoja vs. AsakuraAsakura | buy | 32.94 | $0.310 | $10.21 | Dec 6, 2024 UTC |
 Will Ferrari win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship?Yes | sell | 133.68 | $0.075 | $10.03 | Dec 6, 2024 UTC |
| Pantoja vs. AsakuraAsakura | buy | 55.99 | $0.350 | $19.6 | Dec 5, 2024 UTC |
| Pantoja vs. AsakuraAsakura | buy | 109.24 | $0.350 | $38.23 | Dec 5, 2024 UTC |
| Pantoja vs. AsakuraAsakura | buy | 362.32 | $0.310 | $112.32 | Dec 5, 2024 UTC |
| Pantoja vs. AsakuraAsakura | buy | 48.64 | $0.310 | $15.08 | Dec 5, 2024 UTC |
 Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?No | sell | 202.14 | $0.476 | $96.22 | Dec 5, 2024 UTC |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?No | sell | 100 | $0.476 | $47.6 | Dec 5, 2024 UTC |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?No | sell | 28.21 | $0.476 | $13.43 | Dec 5, 2024 UTC |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?No | sell | 58.78 | $0.476 | $27.98 | Dec 5, 2024 UTC |
| Pantoja vs. AsakuraAsakura | buy | 54.05 | $0.310 | $16.76 | Dec 5, 2024 UTC |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?No | sell | 4.2 | $0.476 | $2 | Dec 5, 2024 UTC |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?No | sell | 31 | $0.476 | $14.76 | Dec 5, 2024 UTC |
| Pantoja vs. AsakuraAsakura | buy | 97.79 | $0.310 | $30.31 | Dec 5, 2024 UTC |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?No | sell | 63.67 | $0.476 | $30.31 | Dec 5, 2024 UTC |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?No | buy | 488.03 | $0.638 | $311.48 | Dec 3, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" in his next speech?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.150 | $30 | Dec 3, 2024 UTC |
| Gane vs. VolkovGane | buy | 40 | $0.750 | $30 | Dec 3, 2024 UTC |
 Spurs vs. SunsSpurs | buy | 100 | $0.300 | $30 | Dec 3, 2024 UTC |
| Rockets vs. KingsRockets | buy | 87.72 | $0.570 | $50 | Dec 3, 2024 UTC |
 Will $HAWK FDV be below $10,000,000 one day after launch?Yes | sell | 161.76 | $0.310 | $50.15 | Dec 3, 2024 UTC |
 Will 'Kraven the Hunter' gross more than $25m on 3-day opening weekend?Yes | buy | 222.64 | $0.225 | $50 | Dec 3, 2024 UTC |
| Landwehr vs. ChoiLandwehr | buy | 100 | $0.550 | $55 | Dec 1, 2024 UTC |
 Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?No | sell | 511.07 | $0.991 | $506.27 | Nov 30, 2024 UTC |
| Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?No | buy | 511.06 | $0.721 | $368.67 | Nov 29, 2024 UTC |
 Will RFK Jr. be Trump's HHS Secretary?Yes | sell | 432.9 | $0.685 | $296.6 | Nov 29, 2024 UTC |
| Will RFK Jr. be Trump's HHS Secretary?Yes | buy | 432.9 | $0.693 | $300 | Nov 28, 2024 UTC |
| Will $HAWK FDV be below $10,000,000 one day after launch?Yes | buy | 161.76 | $0.340 | $55 | Nov 28, 2024 UTC |
| Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?Yes | sell | 74.98 | $0.350 | $26.24 | Nov 28, 2024 UTC |
| Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?Yes | buy | 41.54 | $0.320 | $13.29 | Nov 28, 2024 UTC |
| Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?Yes | buy | 4.97 | $0.320 | $1.59 | Nov 28, 2024 UTC |
| Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.320 | $0.47 | Nov 28, 2024 UTC |
| Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.320 | $1.6 | Nov 28, 2024 UTC |
| Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.320 | $7.04 | Nov 28, 2024 UTC |
| Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?No | sell | 30.57 | $0.580 | $17.73 | Nov 28, 2024 UTC |
| Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?No | sell | 3.98 | $0.580 | $2.31 | Nov 28, 2024 UTC |
| Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?No | sell | 292 | $0.580 | $169.36 | Nov 28, 2024 UTC |
| Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?No | sell | 360.08 | $0.580 | $208.85 | Nov 28, 2024 UTC |
| Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?No | buy | 686.64 | $0.437 | $300 | Nov 27, 2024 UTC |
 Bears vs. LionsLions | sell | 12 | $0.820 | $9.84 | Nov 27, 2024 UTC |
| Pantoja vs. AsakuraAsakura | buy | 306.81 | $0.326 | $100 | Nov 27, 2024 UTC |
 Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?No | buy | 68.49 | $0.730 | $50 | Nov 27, 2024 UTC |
| Will Ferrari win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship?Yes | buy | 133.69 | $0.187 | $25 | Nov 27, 2024 UTC |
| Bears vs. LionsLions | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | Nov 27, 2024 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.