Will $HAWK FDV be below $10,000,000 one day after launch?

cryptoResolved

No, settled Dec 6, 2024 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$93.8K

Resolved

Settled

Dec 6, 2024 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 6 Dec 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 15.5% on 27 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 27 Nov 2024 to 6 Dec 2024, the highest close was 38% on 28 Nov 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 6 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 23 points up, to 38% on 28 Nov 2024. $93.84K traded over the market's life.

38 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Dec 7, 1:47 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 27 Nov 2024 – 6 Dec 2024

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
27 Nov 2024	15.5%
6 Dec 2024	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	16.12K
phroge	Yes	1.04K
0xbearbullchad	Yes	781.05
MOLE69	Yes	54.84

10 of 38 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

On November 26, 2024, Hailey Welch announced that she would be launching a crypto token $HAWK on December 4 (see: https://x.com/HalieyWelchX/status/1861470499060007016) This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Fully Diluted Valuation of $HAWK is below $10,000,000 one day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Hailey Welch doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."