Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 5.57 | $0.898 | $5.35 | +$0.35 |
 Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | May 25, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 13.33 |
| $0.150 |
| $0.94 |
| -$1.06 |
| buy |
| 2.22 |
| $0.900 |
| $2 |
| May 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 4.88 | $0.410 | $2 | May 25, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 5.57 | $0.898 | $5 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.018 | $2 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.960 | $20 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 86.96 | $0.023 | $2 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Australia in July?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Japan in July?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 ETH/BTC Up or Down on May 9?Up | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | May 8, 2025 |
 Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June?No | buy | 4.11 | $0.730 | $3 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 again by March 31?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | Mar 25, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?No | buy | 10.04 | $0.996 | $10 | Mar 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Mar 12, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.360 | $4 | Mar 12, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $2500 by Thursday?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | Feb 27, 2025 |
 Will another country launch a memecoin in February?No | buy | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 TikTok banned in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.71 | $0.700 | $5.4 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 Supreme Court term limits in 2024?No | buy | 4 | $0.999 | $4 | Dec 25, 2024 |
 Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?Yes | sell | 20.58 | $0.330 | $6.79 | Dec 6, 2024 |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?Yes | buy | 20.59 | $0.340 | $7 | Dec 6, 2024 |
 GOP wins popular vote by 3-4%?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 10.54 | $0.949 | $10 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 36.33 | $0.578 | $21 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?Yes | sell | 45.23 | $0.820 | $37.09 | Oct 24, 2024 |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?Yes | buy | 45.24 | $0.840 | $38 | Oct 24, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?Yes | sell | 40.24 | $0.800 | $32.19 | Oct 24, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 40.24 | $0.820 | $33 | Oct 24, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 32.78 | $0.590 | $19.34 | Oct 24, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 32.79 | $0.610 | $20 | Oct 24, 2024 |
 Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | sell | 30.18 | $0.991 | $29.91 | Oct 24, 2024 |
| Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | buy | 30.18 | $0.994 | $30 | Oct 24, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 199.33 | $0.601 | $119.8 | Oct 24, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 199.34 | $0.602 | $120 | Oct 24, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | sell | 65.25 | $0.608 | $39.67 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 65.32 | $0.612 | $40 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 24.09 | $0.820 | $19.75 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 24.1 | $0.830 | $20 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | sell | 40.28 | $0.991 | $39.92 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | buy | 40.28 | $0.993 | $40 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.820 | $27.33 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.840 | $28 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 188.38 | $0.636 | $119.81 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 188.38 | $0.637 | $120 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | sell | 11.06 | $0.991 | $10.96 | Oct 22, 2024 |