Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 5.32 |
| $0.376 |
| $2 |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?No | buy | 4.42 | $0.905 | $4 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.820 | $10 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 4.53 | $0.883 | $4 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?No | buy | 6.52 | $0.460 | $3 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?No | buy | 16.34 | $0.306 | $5 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?Yes | buy | 6.35 | $0.630 | $4 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Will Unit launch a token in 2025?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?No | buy | 5.64 | $0.780 | $4.4 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross between $140-150m opening weekend?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.496 | $1 | May 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump remove Harvard's Intl Student ban before July?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | May 24, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | May 24, 2025 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 3.38 | $0.760 | $2.57 | May 24, 2025 |
 Will Apple release a new product line in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Mar 18, 2025 |
 Magnificent 7 shrinks below 30% of S&P 500 in 2025?Yes | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Mar 18, 2025 |
 Will Stephen Hawking be named in Epstein files?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Mar 18, 2025 |
| Will Leonardo DiCaprio be named in Epstein files?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Mar 18, 2025 |
 Did the FBI destroy Epstein files?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | Mar 18, 2025 |
 Will anyone be charged as a result of Epstein file release?Yes | buy | 23.53 | $0.170 | $4 | Mar 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon CZ in his first 100 days?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Mar 18, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Mar 18, 2025 |
 Liverpool wins the Premier League?Yes | sell | 7.56 | $0.956 | $7.23 | Mar 18, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2024?Yes | buy | 8.62 | $0.116 | $1 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2024?Yes | buy | 3.66 | $0.820 | $3 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris be TIME's Person of the Year for 2024?Yes | buy | 46.51 | $0.043 | $2 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Will 'Black Myth: Wukong' win Game of the Year?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Will 'Astro Bot' win Game of the Year?No | buy | 10 | $0.590 | $5.9 | Dec 10, 2024 |
| Liverpool wins the Premier League?Yes | buy | 7.56 | $0.529 | $4 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Arsenal wins the Premier League?Yes | buy | 9.66 | $0.207 | $2 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Is Luigi Mangione YouTube channel real?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Dec 10, 2024 |