Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 45 | $0.893 | $40.19 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 5 |
| $0.860 |
| $4.3 |
| Jun 23, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 47 | $0.860 | $40.42 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.580 | $34.8 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 77 | $0.580 | $44.66 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?No | sell | 41 | $0.985 | $40.39 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?No | buy | 14 | $0.986 | $13.8 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.760 | $1.52 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 63 | $0.630 | $39.69 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 71 | $0.630 | $44.73 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 53 | $0.790 | $41.87 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.100 | $2.8 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.018 | $0.72 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 39 | $0.710 | $27.69 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 58 | $0.806 | $46.75 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 43 | $0.380 | $16.34 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.017 | $0.71 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 48 | $0.970 | $46.56 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 48 | $0.969 | $46.51 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.810 | $4.05 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 47 | $0.986 | $46.34 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 47 | $0.980 | $46.06 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?No | buy | 11 | $0.983 | $10.81 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?No | sell | 12 | $0.933 | $11.2 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.107 | $0.64 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.107 | $1.82 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.105 | $0.63 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 12 | $0.976 | $11.71 | Aug 10, 2025 |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 12 | $0.979 | $11.75 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 12 | $0.985 | $11.82 | Aug 10, 2025 |
| Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 12 | $0.978 | $11.74 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.052 | $0.57 | Aug 10, 2025 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.053 | $1.17 | Aug 10, 2025 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?Yes | buy | 63 | $0.053 | $3.34 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 Will the number of federal employees decrease by 100,000-200,000 between December and June?No | sell | 12 | $0.851 | $10.21 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.986 | $1.48 | May 10, 2025 |
 Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 9-12%?No | buy | 11 | $0.968 | $10.65 | Apr 26, 2025 |
 Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025 Stanley Cup?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.079 | $0.47 | Apr 26, 2025 |
| Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025 Stanley Cup?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.080 | $0.72 | Apr 26, 2025 |
| Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025 Stanley Cup?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.074 | $2.59 | Apr 25, 2025 |
 Will Mario Grech be the next pope?No | buy | 14 | $0.985 | $13.79 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Ethereum all time high by June 30?No | sell | 14 | $0.979 | $13.71 | Apr 24, 2025 |
| Ethereum all time high by June 30?No | buy | 14 | $0.968 | $13.55 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.052 | $0.94 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 100–124 times April 18–25?No | buy | 12 | $0.909 | $10.91 | Apr 21, 2025 |
| Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.043 | $0.86 | Apr 21, 2025 |
 Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 77 | $0.026 | $2 | Apr 21, 2025 |
 Will Albania win Eurovision 2025?No | sell | 14 | $0.987 | $13.82 | Apr 21, 2025 |
 Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | sell | 16 | $0.899 | $14.38 | Apr 8, 2025 |
| Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | sell | 15 | $0.897 | $13.46 | Apr 7, 2025 |