Latest trade
Apr 12, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 4:39 AM UTC.
Analytics
Important-Modem has made $43.75 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 14 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-04-12 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Apr 12, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 4:39 AM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 46 trades covered 38 markets; 95.7% were buys. They run from Mar 23, 2026 UTC to Apr 12, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.72 | $0.368 | $1.2 | +$0.2 |
 |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| uncategorized | $0 | $0 | 6 | 3 | 0.0% | $19.27 |
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Iran strike Ukraine by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.034 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-04-12 13:20 UTC
Polymarket public position response
4 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 04:39 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
46 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 04:39 UTC
polymarket positions
16 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-04-12 13:20 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $105.21 and losing ones cost $23 across 14 settled positions. 14.3% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $89.55 on “US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?” (Yes); the largest loss, $5 on “Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?” (No).
It first traded on 23 Mar 2026 and most recently on 12 Apr 2026, 195 days ago. It has traded 38 markets. Its open positions are worth $3.77 across 4 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 62.5 |
| $0.016 |
| $1.13 |
| +$0.13 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 5.03 | $0.199 | $0.78 | -$0.22 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Yes | 51.28 | $0.039 | $0.67 | -$1.33 |
| buy |
| 167.7 |
| $0.012 |
| $2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iran strike the United Kingdom by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 109.27 | $0.018 | $2 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iran strike Afghanistan by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.020 | $2 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iran strike Syria by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.038 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.93 | $0.067 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 61.36 | $0.033 | $2 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 26.67 | $0.150 | $4 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?No | buy | 12.2 | $0.082 | $1 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | sell | 90.9 | $0.996 | $90.54 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
 Critical Discord Incident by April 30?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
 Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 5.03 | $0.199 | $1 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 2.72 | $0.368 | $1 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.090 | $0.75 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.032 | $1 | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?No | buy | 76.92 | $0.026 | $2 | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 19.23 | $0.052 | $1 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 19.61 | $0.051 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
 Trump out as President by March 31?Yes | buy | 96.51 | $0.010 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
 Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group BTeam Spirit | buy | 285.71 | $0.007 | $2 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will The Bride be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 13m?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Yes | buy | 51.28 | $0.039 | $2 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
 France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.023 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.080 | $4 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
 Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No | buy | 800 | $0.005 | $4 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
 Trump cabinet member out by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 125.31 | $0.016 | $2 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.