Latest trade
Jan 27, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 6:23 PM UTC.
Analytics
blackswandrift is down $6.27K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-02-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jan 27, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 6:23 PM UTC.
$50 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 33 markets; 70.0% were buys. They run from Dec 1, 2025 UTC to Jan 27, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?Yes | sell | 625 | $0.012 | $7.62 | Jan 27, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-02-01 07:41 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 18:23 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 18:23 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-02-01 07:41 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $2.78K and losing ones cost $6.5K across the latest 50 settled positions. 22% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $666.82 on “Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?” (Yes); the largest loss, $1.34K on “Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 27 Jan 2026. It has traded 144 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 714.28 |
| $0.016 |
| $11.43 |
| Jan 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?Yes | sell | 1.19K | $0.010 | $11.93 | Jan 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 876.76 | $0.007 | $6.3 | Jan 27, 2026 UTC |
 Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?Yes | sell | 1.24K | $0.030 | $37.35 | Jan 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.275 | $50 | Jan 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 239.8 | $0.209 | $50 | Jan 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?Yes | sell | 391.22 | $0.780 | $305.28 | Jan 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.005 | $10 | Jan 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 391.23 | $0.128 | $50 | Jan 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes?Yes | buy | 389.65 | $0.128 | $50 | Jan 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.080 | $50 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 797.51 | $0.063 | $50 | Jan 21, 2026 UTC |
| Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.24K | $0.080 | $100 | Jan 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?Yes | sell | 3.8K | $0.006 | $22.92 | Jan 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?Yes | buy | 1.19K | $0.042 | $50 | Jan 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 172.41 | $0.290 | $50 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 839.2 | $0.060 | $50 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 324.51 | $0.154 | $50 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.140 | $100 | Jan 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?Yes | buy | 3.8K | $0.026 | $100 | Jan 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 876.76 | $0.114 | $100 | Jan 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 6.46K | $0.001 | $6.46 | Dec 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 3.05K | $0.003 | $9.16 | Dec 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 1.61K | $0.031 | $50 | Dec 29, 2025 UTC |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.55K | $0.194 | $300 | Dec 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 2.63K | $0.019 | $50 | Dec 23, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 421.25 | $0.119 | $50 | Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 12?No | sell | 752.52 | $0.002 | $1.68 | Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?Yes | buy | 6.67K | $0.003 | $20 | Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 12?No | buy | 752.52 | $0.027 | $20 | Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 3.33K | $0.015 | $50 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 115.75 | $0.432 | $50 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 10?No | buy | 425 | $0.118 | $50 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 265.04 | $0.645 | $170.87 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 265.05 | $0.377 | $100 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 9?No | sell | 1.41K | $0.002 | $2.82 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 9?No | buy | 1.41K | $0.035 | $50 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on December 8?Down | buy | 1.25K | $0.080 | $100 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December meeting?Yes | sell | 37.82 | $0.012 | $0.46 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December meeting?Yes | sell | 1.78K | $0.005 | $8.91 | Dec 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 2?No | buy | 1K | $0.020 | $20 | Dec 2, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 2?Yes | buy | 971.32 | $0.021 | $20 | Dec 2, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 2?Yes | buy | 1.18K | $0.017 | $20 | Dec 2, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 2?No | buy | 846.75 | $0.059 | $50 | Dec 1, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 1?No | sell | 202.02 | $0.999 | $201.82 | Dec 1, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 3.13K | $0.032 | $100 | Dec 1, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on December 1?No | buy | 2.14K | $0.009 | $20 | Dec 1, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 1?No | buy | 202.02 | $0.099 | $20 | Dec 1, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 1?No | buy | 3.33K | $0.006 | $20 | Dec 1, 2025 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.