Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 400 | $0.570 | $194 | -$34 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Monique Taylor win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.650 | $26 | 9d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 350 |
| $0.301 |
| $162.58 |
| +$57.08 |
 Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | No | 100 | $0.480 | $76 | +$28 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 3K | $0.071 | $58.5 | -$155.66 |
 NATO article 5 before 2027? | Yes | 1.01K | $0.138 | $55.39 | -$83.6 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 750 | $0.190 | $53.63 | -$88.88 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 100 | $0.510 | $49.5 | -$1.5 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 200 | $0.500 | $27 | -$73 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 300 | $0.160 | $18 | -$30 |
 Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1K | $0.040 | $0.5 | -$39.5 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.510 |
| $51 |
| 9d ago |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 75 | $0.830 | $62.25 | 9d ago |
| Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?Yes | sell | 909.6 | $0.002 | $1.64 | 9d ago |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.850 | $85 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 858.8 | $0.011 | $9.45 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 47.13 | $0.115 | $5.42 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.520 | $39 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| NATO article 5 before 2027?Yes | buy | 133.67 | $0.090 | $12.03 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?No | sell | 15.63 | $0.922 | $14.41 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?Yes | sell | 1.01K | $0.011 | $11.03 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 279.28 | $0.179 | $50 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| NATO article 5 before 2027?Yes | buy | 199.99 | $0.170 | $34 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 400 | $0.570 | $228 | May 25, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.360 | $72 | May 14, 2026 |
| State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.040 | $1.64 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.480 | $2.42 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.860 | $25.8 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.880 | $88 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 164.92 | $0.867 | $142.93 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.990 | $495 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.047 | $94 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.047 | $47 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.470 | $47 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.180 | $45 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.463 | $55.51 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 67.2 | $0.446 | $30 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.398 | $29.85 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| NATO article 5 before 2027?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.200 | $24 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.129 | $32.27 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.420 | $14 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.200 | $14 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 26.67 | $0.600 | $16 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.230 | $16.1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.340 | $47.6 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 300 | $0.920 | $276 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 200 | $0.920 | $184 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.190 | $95 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 191.88 | $0.069 | $13.24 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.069 | $55.02 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.068 | $13.6 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.140 | $280 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?Yes | buy | 210 | $0.180 | $37.8 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.679 | $271.66 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.690 | $103.5 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.160 | $48 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.190 | $190 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 500 | $0.930 | $465 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.140 | $56 | Jan 7, 2026 |