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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Yes | 2.22K | $0.202 | $255.13 | -$192.63 |
 Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.060 | $66 | Jan 17, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 1.95K |
| $0.051 |
| $73.04 |
| -$27.07 |
| buy |
| 30 |
| $0.059 |
| $1.77 |
| Jan 17, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 1K | $0.210 | $210 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?Yes | buy | 268.63 | $0.046 | $12.34 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?Yes | buy | 549.04 | $0.036 | $20 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 297.06 | $0.180 | $53.47 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Yes | buy | 937.19 | $0.160 | $149.95 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 192.67 | $0.420 | $80.92 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will Winsome Earle-Sears win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025Yes | buy | 256.86 | $0.074 | $19 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Yes | buy | 500 | $0.200 | $100 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 6K | $0.025 | $149.93 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.1K | $0.048 | $149.93 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?Yes | buy | 1.19K | $0.025 | $29.86 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.56K | $0.047 | $120 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad SchimelSchimel | buy | 327.81 | $0.160 | $52.45 | Mar 31, 2025 |
| Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad SchimelSchimel | buy | 9.33 | $0.150 | $1.4 | Mar 31, 2025 |
 Will Matt Gaetz be Trump's Attorney General?Yes | buy | 144.64 | $0.420 | $60.75 | Nov 20, 2024 |
 Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?Yes | sell | 202.5 | $0.300 | $60.75 | Nov 20, 2024 |
| Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?Yes | buy | 202.5 | $0.300 | $60.75 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.972 | $60.75 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 352.06 | $0.999 | $351.71 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 28.31 | $0.751 | $21.26 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Virginia Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 416.74 | $0.051 | $21.25 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Virginia Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 95.32 | $0.190 | $18.11 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?Yes | sell | 62.45 | $0.290 | $18.11 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win New York Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 143.06 | $0.036 | $5.15 | Oct 28, 2024 |
 Will another state be the closest state?Yes | buy | 150.96 | $0.079 | $12 | Oct 12, 2024 |
 Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.07K | $0.004 | $4.29 | Oct 10, 2024 |
 No prison time for Hunter Biden in gun case?No | sell | 56.17 | $0.290 | $16.29 | Oct 10, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 284.11 | $0.275 | $78.13 | Oct 10, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 39.65 | $0.255 | $10.11 | Oct 5, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?Yes | buy | 68.49 | $0.073 | $5 | Oct 2, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Oct 2, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?Yes | buy | 81.16 | $0.062 | $5 | Oct 2, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 3-4%?Yes | buy | 156.25 | $0.032 | $5 | Oct 2, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 4-5%?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.015 | $5 | Oct 2, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | Oct 2, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 6-7%?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.007 | $5 | Oct 2, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 7% or more?Yes | buy | 403.85 | $0.012 | $5 | Oct 2, 2024 |
 Who will win the VP debate according to polls?Vance | buy | 78.13 | $0.640 | $50 | Oct 2, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Virginia Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.140 | $20 | Sep 27, 2024 |
| Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?Yes | buy | 62.46 | $0.240 | $14.99 | Sep 13, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win New York Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 415.14 | $0.036 | $15 | Aug 12, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | Aug 11, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104Yes | buy | 68.34 | $0.146 | $10 | Aug 11, 2024 |
| No prison time for Hunter Biden in gun case?No | buy | 56.18 | $0.280 | $15.73 | Aug 11, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.009 | $10 | Aug 11, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Virginia Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.140 | $25 | Aug 11, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 221.69 | $0.451 | $99.98 | Aug 10, 2024 |