Analytics
Resolved No on 23 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 1.3% on 8 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 16 daily closes on record from 8 Aug 2024 to 23 Aug 2024, the highest close was 1.4% on 9 Aug 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 22 Aug 2024. $15.87M traded over the market's life.
148 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 24, 5:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 8 Aug 2024 – 23 Aug 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Aug 2024 | 1.3% |
| 23 Aug 2024 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BigMikeBeliever | Yes | 1.44M |
| Jicar8331 | Yes | 618.51K |
| Sniper108 | Yes | 313.43K |
| 2024michelle | Yes | 299.41K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris is confirmed to have been replaced or withdraws as the nominee of the Democratic Party at the Democratic National Convention (DNC). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Harris is confirmed to have been replaced or withdraws as the nominee before the DNC this market will also resolve to "Yes." If the DNC has concluded and Kamala Harris remains the nominee, this market will resolve to "No." If the DNC is cancelled or rescheduled to a date after November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Democratic Party and footage from the DNC, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/kamala-swap-at-dnc
| Kermit | Yes | 168.53K |
| Emerald Quasar B691 | Yes | 147.05K |
| gg1231 | Yes | 129K |
| .doodoo | Yes | 113.98K |
| Kazz | Yes | 108.53K |
| bigD | Yes | 88.12K |
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