Analytics
surfandturf has made $14.06K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-16 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 160K | $0.475 | $114.32K | +$38.33K |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-16 03:58 UTC
Polymarket public position response
8 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 15:35 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-24 15:35 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-16 03:58 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $12.93M and losing ones cost $12.39M across the latest 50 settled positions. 52% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $872.46K on “UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)” (Justin Gaethje); the largest loss, $1.05M on “Will England win on 2026-06-23?” (Yes).
It has traded 651 markets. Its open positions are worth $262.57K across 8 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 517.96K |
| $0.051 |
| $91.16K |
| +$64.87K |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 450.05K | $0.231 | $40.28K | -$63.54K |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 8.82K | $0.728 | $8.33K | +$1.91K |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 525K | $0.023 | $7.35K | -$4.62K |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 179.57K | $0.003 | $628.5 | +$90.44 |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 200K | $0.002 | $500 | +$100 |
| Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 5.63K | $0.004 | $2.82 | -$20.8 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
