Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 7.35 | $0.993 | $7.3 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 11.52 |
| $0.981 |
| $11.3 |
| Nov 9, 2025 |
 Will Marian Vanghelie be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | buy | 4.7 | $0.999 | $4.7 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Will Aristides Teixeira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 9.11 | $0.999 | $9.1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Macron out by October 31, 2025?No | buy | 3.61 | $0.998 | $3.6 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Marlins vs. NationalsMarlins | buy | 10.38 | $0.570 | $5.92 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Will Aidan Chiles be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?No | buy | 6.21 | $0.999 | $6.2 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.995 | $1.36 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $6200 in August?No | buy | 5.57 | $0.965 | $5.38 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will Pope Francis be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 4.04 | $0.990 | $4 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 4.61 | $0.998 | $4.6 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will Travis Hunter only play defense?No | buy | 4.3 | $0.999 | $4.3 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 Open Championship?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.996 | $3 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will the Las Vegas Aces win the 2025 WNBA Championship?No | buy | 3.94 | $0.989 | $3.9 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet less than 90 times June 27–July 4?No | buy | 5.46 | $0.995 | $5.43 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Will Félix González win the Chilean presidential election?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Will Fergus Finlay win the Irish Presidential Election?No | buy | 4.59 | $0.980 | $4.5 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Will a candidate other than Andrew Cuomo or Zohran Mamdani win the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?No | buy | 3.83 | $0.993 | $3.8 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Will Al Ahly vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?No | buy | 2.24 | $0.760 | $1.7 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be less than 2%?No | buy | 4.12 | $0.994 | $4.1 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 30%?No | buy | 4.9 | $0.999 | $4.9 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Will Aurora win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?No | buy | 8.73 | $0.997 | $8.7 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Will Dara Khosrowshahi be announced as the next CEO of Tesla?No | buy | 4.41 | $0.998 | $4.4 | May 22, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $8000 in May?No | buy | 4.01 | $0.998 | $4 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Solana reach $300 in May?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.994 | $2.8 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $200k in May?No | buy | 7.21 | $0.998 | $7.2 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Armenia win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 4.21 | $0.998 | $4.2 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Finland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.996 | $1.6 | May 5, 2025 |
 Will Estonia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No | buy | 5.12 | $0.996 | $5.1 | May 5, 2025 |
 Will Switzerland be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No | buy | 2.81 | $0.996 | $2.8 | May 5, 2025 |
 Heat vs. BullsHeat | buy | 6.46 | $0.480 | $3.1 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 UEFA Europa League: Athletic Club vs. Rangers (To Advance)Athletic Club | buy | 1.9 | $0.840 | $1.6 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.965 | $9.65 | Apr 4, 2025 |
 Is John McAfee alive?No | sell | 5 | $0.955 | $4.77 | Apr 4, 2025 |
 Will the SPD be part of the next German government?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.958 | $6.71 | Apr 4, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | sell | 6.5 | $0.780 | $5.07 | Apr 3, 2025 |
 Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.674 | $6.74 | Apr 3, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?Yes | sell | 6.46 | $0.939 | $6.07 | Apr 3, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.390 | $4.29 | Apr 3, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 29.57K | $0.310 | $9.17K | Apr 3, 2025 |
 Will Zelensky wear suit next Trump meeting?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.160 | $1.12 | Apr 3, 2025 |
 Will TikTok be banned again before May?Yes | sell | 44.4K | $0.190 | $8.44K | Apr 3, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?No | buy | 7.91 | $0.940 | $7.44 | Apr 3, 2025 |
 BOA launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?No | buy | 5 | $0.750 | $3.75 | Apr 3, 2025 |
| Will the SPD be part of the next German government?Yes | buy | 8.17 | $0.954 | $7.79 | Apr 3, 2025 |
 Will the US add between 150-200k jobs in March?Yes | sell | 26.91K | $0.310 | $8.34K | Apr 3, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?Yes | buy | 8.47 | $0.945 | $8 | Apr 3, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 19.71 | $0.964 | $19 | Apr 3, 2025 |
| Israel military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.390 | $4.68 | Apr 3, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | sell | 22.85K | $0.330 | $7.54K | Apr 3, 2025 |