Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Human moon landing in 2026? | Yes | 44.78 | $0.067 | $0.87 | -$2.13 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETUp | buy | 20.69 | $0.610 | $12.62 | Mar 16, 2026 |
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sapena is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #2,461,385 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$60.65 observed lifetime PnL, 67 distinct markets, 41 resolved positions, a 78.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x9e690b66c7f88abd10d96330f789728b1ecc465a
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| buy |
| 12.84 |
| $0.690 |
| $8.86 |
| Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on March 16?Yes | sell | 16.08 | $0.244 | $3.93 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on March 16?No | sell | 5.19 | $0.990 | $5.14 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on March 16?Yes | buy | 16.08 | $0.240 | $3.86 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 16?Yes | buy | 11.63 | $0.430 | $5 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.975 | $8.86 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on March 16?Yes | buy | 10.44 | $0.630 | $6.58 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on March 16?Yes | sell | 12.23 | $0.213 | $2.6 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on March 16?No | buy | 5.19 | $0.770 | $4 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on March 16?Yes | buy | 12.23 | $0.327 | $4 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on March 16?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.360 | $3 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 9.97 | $0.760 | $7.58 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | sell | 17.24 | $0.440 | $7.59 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will France strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 14.72 | $0.274 | $4.04 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 13.59 | $0.368 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 14.49 | $0.690 | $10 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | sell | 96.73 | $0.070 | $6.79 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 45.45 | $0.066 | $3 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by March 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 51.28 | $0.039 | $2 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will "Sinners" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 27?Yes | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.04 | $0.230 | $3 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 1,050 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.39 | $0.878 | $10 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 29.41 | $0.450 | $13.23 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Human moon landing in 2026?Yes | buy | 44.78 | $0.067 | $3 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETDown | buy | 5.59 | $0.890 | $4.98 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.340 | $10 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETUp | buy | 5.93 | $0.490 | $2.91 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETUp | buy | 5.48 | $0.530 | $2.91 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6AM ETUp | sell | 8.92 | $0.999 | $8.91 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETDown | buy | 10.5 | $0.280 | $2.94 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETDown | buy | 2.73 | $0.719 | $1.96 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6AM ETUp | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETUp | sell | 8.48 | $0.010 | $0.08 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETUp | buy | 8.35 | $0.464 | $3.88 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by March 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Macron out by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 69.77 | $0.043 | $3 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETUp | buy | 6.43 | $0.520 | $3.34 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETUp | buy | 3.44 | $0.870 | $2.99 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETDown | buy | 2.98 | $0.700 | $2.08 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETDown | buy | 11.28 | $0.430 | $4.85 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-22?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.999 | $7.13 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-22?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.560 | $4 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?No | buy | 8.12 | $0.650 | $5.28 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Another US military action against Iran before 2026?Yes | buy | 13.64 | $0.220 | $3 | Oct 8, 2025 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.