Analytics
Resolved Yes on 19 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 96.5%. Yes opened at 67% on 17 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 83 daily closes on record from 17 Dec 2025 to 18 Mar 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 96.5% on 18 Mar 2026 and the lowest 17% on 21 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 55 points up, to 82.5% on 9 Feb 2026.
184 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 20, 9:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 83 points, 17 Dec 2025 – 18 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Dec 2025 | 67.0% |
| 18 Mar 2026 | 96.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Menacing-Bench | No | 7.12K |
| Wilted-Loophole | No | 3.52K |
| Worthwhile-Vegetarian | No | 3.35K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Thailand in January or February, 2026. The Thai House of Representatives will select the next Prime Minister of Thailand following this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next prime minister of Thailand is officially selected by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any prime minister formally selected by passing a vote in the Thai House of Representatives within this market’s timeframe will count, regardless of whether they have been officially appointed by the King of Thailand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Thailand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-thai-prime-minister-chosen-by-march-31
| No |
| 1.61K |
| Hossein10 | No | 1.43K |
| dogfoodfunding | No | 1.12K |
| Elad231 | No | 1.1K |
| messuelovich | No | 1.05K |
| blind.guy | No | 868.84 |
| Bright Atlas BA84 | No | 784.18 |
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