Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 59.93 | $0.048 | $24.96 | +$22.06 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | 4d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 35.21 |
| $0.443 |
| $18.91 |
| +$3.31 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 17.54 | $0.570 | $14.47 | +$4.47 |
| Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 32.63 | $0.306 | $13.38 | +$3.38 |
| Israel election: will Likud lose seats? | Yes | 9.35 | $0.940 | $8.6 | -$0.19 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6.53 | $0.460 | $3.49 | +$0.49 |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | No | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2.01 | +$0.01 |
 Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | No | 2.67 | $0.750 | $1.93 | -$0.07 |
| Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 11.05 | $0.181 | $1.56 | -$0.44 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1.25 | +$0.25 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4.17 | $0.240 | $0.87 | -$0.13 |
| sell |
| 5.88 |
| $0.340 |
| $2 |
| 4d ago |
| Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | 5d ago |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 2.38 | $0.850 | $2.02 | 5d ago |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 3.16 | $0.506 | $1.6 | 5d ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?No | sell | 1.96 | $0.520 | $1.02 | 5d ago |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 8.18 | $0.489 | $4 | 6d ago |
 Israel Election: Otzma Yehudit & RZP Run on Same List?No | sell | 3.47 | $0.950 | $3.3 | 7d ago |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.69 | $0.340 | $1.25 | 7d ago |
| Israel Election: Otzma Yehudit & RZP Run on Same List?No | buy | 3.47 | $0.950 | $3.3 | 8d ago |
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | 8d ago |
| Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes | buy | 11.05 | $0.181 | $2 | 8d ago |
| Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes | buy | 32.63 | $0.306 | $10 | 8d ago |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 5.88 | $0.500 | $2.94 | 8d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.43 | $0.820 | $1.99 | 8d ago |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?No | sell | 2.22 | $0.910 | $2.02 | 8d ago |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | sell | 14.92 | $0.730 | $10.89 | 8d ago |
| Israel election: will Likud lose seats?Yes | buy | 1.9 | $0.940 | $1.79 | 9d ago |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | sell | 1.17 | $0.860 | $1.01 | 9d ago |
| Israel election: will Likud lose seats?Yes | buy | 3.19 | $0.940 | $3 | 9d ago |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.16 | $0.857 | $0.99 | 9d ago |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?No | sell | 2.12 | $0.930 | $1.97 | 9d ago |
| Israel election: will Likud lose seats?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | 9d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.16 | $0.830 | $0.96 | 9d ago |
| Israel election: will Likud lose seats?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | 9d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 9, 2026?No | sell | 1.25 | $0.730 | $0.91 | 9d ago |
| Israel election: will Likud lose seats?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | 9d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.934 | $1 | 9d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.934 | $1 | 9d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 9, 2026?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | 9d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.69 | $0.542 | $2 | 9d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | 9d ago |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | 9d ago |
| Israel election: will Likud lose seats?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | 9d ago |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 9.94 | $0.503 | $5 | 9d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.859 | $1 | 9d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 6.94 | $0.141 | $0.98 | 9d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.94 | $0.144 | $1 | 9d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2 | 9d ago |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.900 | $2 | 9d ago |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | 9d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | 9d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | 9d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.820 | $2 | 9d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | 11d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2 | 11d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 10.54 | $0.500 | $5.27 | 11d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | 11d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | 11d ago |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Yes | sell | 8.77 | $0.700 | $6.14 | 11d ago |