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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | sell | 46 | $0.860 | $39.56 | Jun 25, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 17 |
| $0.130 |
| $2.21 |
| Jun 24, 2026 |
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 68 | $0.140 | $9.52 | Jun 24, 2026 |
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 111 | $0.140 | $15.54 | Jun 24, 2026 |
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.140 | $5.46 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 74 | $0.600 | $44.4 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 74 | $0.600 | $44.4 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 53 | $0.840 | $44.52 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 53 | $0.840 | $44.52 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.270 | $21.6 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.270 | $21.6 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 2 | $0.730 | $1.46 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 55 | $0.720 | $39.6 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 49 | $0.891 | $43.66 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 49 | $0.892 | $43.71 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 86 | $0.110 | $9.46 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 86 | $0.114 | $9.8 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 47 | $0.942 | $44.27 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 45 | $0.977 | $43.96 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 64 | $0.310 | $19.84 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 46 | $0.958 | $44.07 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 44 | $0.986 | $43.38 | May 31, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 44 | $0.985 | $43.34 | May 31, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 45 | $0.982 | $44.19 | May 30, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 45 | $0.982 | $44.19 | May 30, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 38 | $0.800 | $30.4 | May 28, 2026 |
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 45 | $0.985 | $44.33 | May 28, 2026 |
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 45 | $0.985 | $44.33 | May 28, 2026 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 37 | $0.958 | $35.45 | May 28, 2026 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 37 | $0.959 | $35.48 | May 28, 2026 |
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 0.51 | $0.981 | $0.5 | Dec 16, 2025 |
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 1 | $0.976 | $0.98 | Jul 23, 2025 |
Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | sell | 1 | $0.995 | $1 | Jul 23, 2025 |
Will Tom Hanks be named in Epstein files?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.022 | $0.44 | Jun 27, 2025 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?No | buy | 1.73 | $0.982 | $1.7 | Jun 25, 2025 |
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.988 | $1.5 | Jun 4, 2025 |
Will Tom Hanks be named in Epstein files?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.058 | $1.16 | May 21, 2025 |
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?No | sell | 5 | $0.921 | $4.61 | May 19, 2025 |
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?No | buy | 13 | $0.939 | $12.21 | May 14, 2025 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?No | buy | 13 | $0.973 | $12.65 | May 12, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1900 and $2100 on May 16?No | sell | 13 | $0.960 | $12.48 | May 12, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1900 and $2100 on May 16?No | buy | 13 | $0.963 | $12.52 | May 11, 2025 |
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.513 | $4.62 | May 11, 2025 |
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.512 | $8.19 | May 11, 2025 |
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair?No | buy | 13 | $0.981 | $12.75 | May 11, 2025 |
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $100-150b in federal spending in 2025?No | sell | 13 | $0.983 | $12.78 | May 10, 2025 |
Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.029 | $0.38 | May 9, 2025 |
Ethereum all time high by June 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.973 | $9.73 | May 9, 2025 |
Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.029 | $0.93 | May 8, 2025 |
Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.990 | $1.65 | May 7, 2025 |