Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.99 | $0.957 | $0.97 | +$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 279 | $0.023 | $6.42 | Jun 25, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 279 |
| $0.023 |
| $6.42 |
| Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No | sell | 40 | $0.950 | $38 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No | buy | 134 | $0.940 | $125.96 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 104 | $0.320 | $33.28 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 81 | $0.093 | $7.53 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1 | $0.480 | $0.48 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 165 | $0.420 | $69.3 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 93 | $0.260 | $24.18 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 120 | $0.860 | $103.2 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 149 | $0.510 | $75.99 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 149 | $0.520 | $77.48 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 120 | $0.963 | $115.56 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 120 | $0.963 | $115.56 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 141 | $0.064 | $9.02 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 53 | $0.952 | $50.46 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.860 | $7.74 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 94 | $0.073 | $6.86 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | buy | 161 | $0.031 | $4.99 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 107 | $0.760 | $81.32 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.820 | $41 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 170 | $0.630 | $107.1 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 85 | $0.040 | $3.4 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 280 | $0.041 | $11.48 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 187 | $0.370 | $69.19 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 104 | $0.039 | $4.06 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 99 | $0.037 | $3.66 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 129 | $0.024 | $3.1 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 338 | $0.026 | $8.79 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 122 | $0.910 | $111.02 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 78 | $0.610 | $47.58 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 78 | $0.620 | $48.36 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.540 | $2.7 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 196 | $0.540 | $105.84 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | sell | 128.66 | $0.670 | $86.2 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 8?No | sell | 124 | $0.992 | $123.01 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 8?No | buy | 124 | $0.994 | $123.26 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 354 | $0.012 | $4.25 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 354 | $0.012 | $4.25 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 6 | $0.957 | $5.74 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 107 | $0.034 | $3.64 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 378 | $0.035 | $13.23 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 128 | $0.970 | $124.16 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 390 | $0.233 | $90.87 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 390 | $0.186 | $72.54 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 112 | $0.954 | $106.85 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 112 | $0.953 | $106.74 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 196 | $0.019 | $3.72 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 193 | $0.047 | $9.07 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 360 | $0.047 | $16.92 | Jun 4, 2026 |