Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | May 24, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 1.13 |
| $0.882 |
| $0.2 |
| -$0.8 |
| buy |
| 1.06 |
| $0.940 |
| $1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.900 | $2 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will Italy win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.903 | $1 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.13 | $0.882 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | sell | 1.12 | $0.988 | $1.11 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.912 | $1 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump deport less than 250,000?No | sell | 1.41 | $0.972 | $1.37 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Base airdrop in Q3 2025?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.048 | $3 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Earthquake 7.0 or above in June?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.960 | $2 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.949 | $1 | May 6, 2025 |
| Will Trump deport less than 250,000?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.708 | $1 | May 6, 2025 |
 ChatGPT #1 app May 9?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | May 6, 2025 |
 Will 'Sinners' gross between $49m and $54m on opening weekend?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.989 | $2 | Apr 20, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 175–199 times April 18–25?No | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | Apr 20, 2025 |
 Will Luisa González win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Mar 13, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 550-574 times March 7-14?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.793 | $1 | Mar 13, 2025 |
 Bucks vs. PelicansBucks | sell | 6.17 | $0.680 | $4.2 | Mar 13, 2025 |
 2025 January hottest on record?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Feb 6, 2025 |
| Bucks vs. PelicansBucks | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Jan 30, 2025 |
 Will Lyon beat Ludogorets?Yes | buy | 4.82 | $0.830 | $4 | Jan 30, 2025 |
 Megaquake in December?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Global heat increase between 1.22°C and 1.24°C for 2024?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 6.32 | $0.950 | $6 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will the HBO documentary identify David Kleiman as Satoshi?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Oct 6, 2024 |
 Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15?No | buy | 3.1 | $0.969 | $3 | Sep 8, 2024 |
 GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?Yes | buy | 0.58 | $0.400 | $0.23 | Aug 4, 2024 |
 GPT-5 released in 2024?No | buy | 0.68 | $0.660 | $0.45 | Aug 4, 2024 |
 Will five or more SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach outer space in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.76 | $0.510 | $0.39 | Aug 4, 2024 |
 Bird flu pandemic in 2024?No | buy | 0.2 | $0.880 | $0.18 | Aug 4, 2024 |
 Will US sell Silk Road BTC before election?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.600 | $0.91 | Aug 4, 2024 |
 Trump post about a memecoin before election?No | buy | 0.92 | $0.870 | $0.8 | Aug 4, 2024 |
 Bitcoin all time high in August?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Aug 4, 2024 |
 Iran military response by Sunday?No | buy | 0.43 | $0.920 | $0.4 | Aug 4, 2024 |
 Will Noah Lyles (USA) win Gold in 100m?No | buy | 0.66 | $0.610 | $0.4 | Jul 28, 2024 |
 USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Yes | buy | 0.44 | $0.800 | $0.35 | Jul 28, 2024 |
 China wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?No | buy | 0.26 | $0.965 | $0.25 | Jul 28, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.59 | $0.580 | $1.5 | Jul 28, 2024 |