Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 23.5% on 27 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 27 Aug 2024 to 16 Sep 2024, the highest close was 31% on 28 Aug 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 16 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 8.9% on 29 Aug 2024. $930.43K traded over the market's life.
103 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 17, 5:56 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 27 Aug 2024 – 16 Sep 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Aug 2024 | 23.5% |
| 16 Sep 2024 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Andrii7711 | Yes | 49.76K |
| monodirection | Yes | 2.8K |
| e404ror | Yes | 2.72K |
| Nagibator | Yes | 2.25K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Pavel Durov has left France for any length of time between August 25, 2024, and September 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In cases where Durov may have exited French airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than France for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Durov exits French maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes". If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Durov left France, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/pavel-durov-leaves-france-by-sep-15
| ClarenceL | Yes | 2.11K |
| Coolio5c | Yes | 2.07K |
| c0bra | Yes | 1.82K |
| att-gamble-3000 | Yes | 1.53K |
| maxmaxmax | Yes | 1.45K |
| Yuu | Yes | 1.23K |
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