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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 36.01 | $0.947 | $35.85 | +$1.75 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 2.98 | $0.620 | $1.85 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 33.15 |
| $0.788 |
| $31.94 |
| +$5.81 |
 Will Islamic Charitable Projects Association win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | No | 23.99 | $0.994 | $23.98 | +$0.14 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 9.99 | $0.662 | $9.27 | +$2.66 |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 2.98 | $0.620 | $1.95 | +$0.1 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | Yes | 0.81 | $0.360 | $0.44 | +$0.15 |
 Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 165.34 | $0.008 | $0.41 | -$0.96 |
| sell |
| 2.13 |
| $0.510 |
| $1.09 |
| Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 0.15 | $0.991 | $0.15 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | sell | 0.37 | $0.340 | $0.13 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 0.16 | $0.993 | $0.16 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 0.37 | $0.991 | $0.37 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 0.1 | $0.991 | $0.1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | buy | 3.31 | $0.360 | $1.19 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 0.39 | $0.986 | $0.38 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 0.62 | $0.986 | $0.61 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 0.16 | $0.986 | $0.16 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 0.14 | $0.984 | $0.14 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 36.01 | $0.947 | $34.1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?No | sell | 38.88 | $0.898 | $34.91 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?No | buy | 49.42 | $0.864 | $42.7 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 0.93 | $0.984 | $0.92 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.998 | $1.02 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 1.06 | $0.995 | $1.05 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?Yes | buy | 5.93 | $0.904 | $5.36 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Free Patriotic Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?No | sell | 4.9 | $0.995 | $4.88 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 132.74 | $0.004 | $0.53 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.39 | $0.490 | $1.17 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 0.31 | $0.988 | $0.31 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 0.43 | $0.988 | $0.42 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 0.21 | $0.988 | $0.21 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 0.25 | $0.988 | $0.25 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.942 | $1 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 10?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.946 | $1.01 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 10?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.958 | $1.03 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.990 | $1.04 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 30.45 | $0.580 | $17.66 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 43.13 | $0.480 | $20.7 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 0.17 | $0.987 | $0.17 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Islamic Charitable Projects Association win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?No | sell | 38.43 | $0.994 | $38.2 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No | buy | 3.41 | $0.975 | $3.32 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 38.85 | $0.004 | $0.16 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 108.48 | $0.004 | $0.43 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 218.57 | $0.007 | $1.53 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 1.1K | $0.003 | $3.29 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.6 | $0.809 | $0.49 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 0.5 | $0.988 | $0.49 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 4.06 | $0.789 | $3.2 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No | sell | 109.01 | $0.003 | $0.33 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | buy | 4.94 | $0.770 | $3.8 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No | buy | 385.56 | $0.009 | $3.47 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 444.21 | $0.013 | $5.56 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 878.97 | $0.008 | $7.1 | May 30, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 29.09 | $0.788 | $22.93 | May 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 62.48 | $0.740 | $46.24 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Free Patriotic Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?No | buy | 4.91 | $0.996 | $4.89 | May 26, 2026 |