Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Resolved

No, settled Jun 19, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$5.8M

Resolved

Settled

Jun 19, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 19 Jun 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 5% on 19 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 32 daily closes on record from 19 May 2026 to 19 Jun 2026, the highest close was 7.6% on 23 May 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 19 Jun 2026. $5.83M traded over the market's life.

334 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jun 20, 2:44 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 32 points, 19 May 2026 – 19 Jun 2026, chart shows 0%–10%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	866.67K
AslanTrader	Yes	386.17K
Plush-Sousaphone	Yes	381.18K
trader49	Yes	269.94K

10 of 334 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).