Latest trade
Sep 12, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 4:25 PM UTC.
Analytics
Costly-Manufacturer has made $310.67 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 21 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-20 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 12, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 4:25 PM UTC.
$4.33 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 21 markets; 64.0% were buys. They run from Feb 23, 2026 UTC to Sep 12, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 1.17K | $0.816 | $1.13K | +$167.89 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 1.17K | $0.816 | $957.81 | Sep 12, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-20 01:49 UTC
Polymarket public position response
4 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 16:25 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 16:25 UTC
polymarket positions
23 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-20 01:49 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $468.12 and losing ones cost $115.52 across 21 settled positions. 47.6% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $343.43 on “Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?” (Yes); the largest loss, $46.22 on “Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 12 Sep 2026. It has traded 29 markets. Its open positions are worth $1.49K across 4 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 362.64 |
| $0.910 |
| $347.77 |
| +$17.77 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.09 | $0.510 | $9.71 | +$4.57 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 8 | $0.003 | $7.74 | +$7.72 |
| buy |
| 874.13 |
| $0.572 |
| $500 |
| Jul 14, 2026 UTC |
 StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 9.91 | $0.570 | $5.65 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?Yes | sell | 5.28 | $0.504 | $2.66 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100.14 | $0.124 | $12.43 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 241.07 | $0.067 | $16.26 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.530 | $2.65 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 362.64 | $0.910 | $330 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 192.41 | $0.001 | $0.19 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 76.34 | $0.001 | $0.08 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will Robert Kenyon finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes | buy | 583.43 | $0.857 | $500 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.52 | $0.186 | $5.49 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.480 | $2.4 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
| StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 9.91 | $0.690 | $6.84 | Jun 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 89.06 | $0.001 | $0.09 | Jun 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.440 | $4.4 | Feb 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 20.09 | $0.510 | $10.25 | Feb 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?Yes | sell | 5.45 | $0.780 | $4.25 | Feb 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?Yes | buy | 10.73 | $0.800 | $8.58 | Feb 25, 2026 UTC |
 Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 44.84 | $0.190 | $8.52 | Feb 24, 2026 UTC |
| Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 44.85 | $0.210 | $9.42 | Feb 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.370 | $1.11 | Feb 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 73.7 | $0.400 | $29.48 | Feb 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.08 | $0.510 | $3.1 | Feb 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.004 | $0.02 | Feb 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | Feb 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.003 | $0.02 | Feb 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.009 | $0.05 | Feb 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.05 | $0.380 | $2.68 | Feb 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 24?Yes | buy | 100.8 | $0.992 | $99.99 | Feb 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.05 | $0.450 | $3.17 | Feb 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 8.83 | $0.130 | $1.15 | Feb 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.080 | $1.54 | Feb 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 100.9 | $0.991 | $99.99 | Feb 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.004 | $0.02 | Feb 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.009 | $0.05 | Feb 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.129 | $0.65 | Feb 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.079 | $0.4 | Feb 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | Feb 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 238 | $0.944 | $224.67 | Feb 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 38.59 | $0.943 | $36.39 | Feb 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 139.32 | $0.943 | $131.38 | Feb 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 51.59 | $0.943 | $48.65 | Feb 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 43.72 | $0.943 | $41.23 | Feb 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 18.36 | $0.943 | $17.31 | Feb 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 27.78 | $0.945 | $26.25 | Feb 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 1.06 | $0.945 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 50.46 | $0.945 | $47.68 | Feb 23, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.