Latest trade
Oct 10, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 4:14 AM UTC.
Analytics
Neon Tide 4D50 has made $109.45 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-12 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 10, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 4:14 AM UTC.
$8.21 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 45 markets; 86.0% were buys. They run from Sep 14, 2026 UTC to Oct 10, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | No | 270.48 | $0.739 | $239.37 | +$39.37 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 8, 2026?No | sell | 14.49 | $0.988 | $14.32 | 14d ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-12 04:34 UTC
Polymarket public position response
7 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 04:14 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 04:14 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-12 04:34 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $230.57 and losing ones cost $120.3 across the latest 50 settled positions. 48% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $60.11 on “Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?” (No); the largest loss, $52 on “Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 10 Oct 2026. It has traded 69 markets. Its open positions are worth $813.67 across 7 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 201.33 |
| $0.745 |
| $164.09 |
| +$14.09 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | No | 123.46 | $0.810 | $114.2 | +$14.2 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 109.89 | $0.910 | $107.31 | +$7.31 |
 Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? | No | 109.89 | $0.910 | $104.95 | +$4.95 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? | No | 185.19 | $0.540 | $54.63 | -$45.37 |
 Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? | No | 43.48 | $0.690 | $29.13 | -$0.87 |
| sell |
| 69.58 |
| $0.996 |
| $69.33 |
| 14d ago |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 17, 2026?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2 | 17d ago |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 16, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.595 | $5.95 | 17d ago |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 13, 2026?No | buy | 12.82 | $0.780 | $10 | 17d ago |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 11, 2026?No | buy | 16.95 | $0.590 | $10 | 17d ago |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 10, 2026?No | buy | 14.37 | $0.696 | $10 | 17d ago |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 9, 2026?No | buy | 9.87 | $0.650 | $6.42 | 17d ago |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 8, 2026?No | buy | 14.49 | $0.690 | $10 | 17d ago |
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No | sell | 452.57 | $0.981 | $443.87 | 17d ago |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 7, 2026?No | buy | 69.58 | $0.873 | $60.74 | 17d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 109.89 | $0.910 | $100 | 17d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?No | buy | 185.19 | $0.540 | $100 | 17d ago |
| Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?No | buy | 109.89 | $0.910 | $100 | 17d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 4?Yes | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | 22d ago |
 Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 4?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | 22d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 4?Yes | buy | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2 | 22d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 4?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | 22d ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 2?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | 24d ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 2?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | 24d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 2?Yes | buy | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5 | 24d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on October 2?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | 24d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on October 2?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | 24d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on October 2?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.061 | $0.61 | 24d ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 1?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | 25d ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 1?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | 25d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 1?Yes | buy | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | 25d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 1?Yes | buy | 27.77 | $0.030 | $0.83 | 25d ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on September 28?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | 28d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 28?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.390 | $2 | 28d ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 28?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | 28d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 28?Yes | buy | 20.2 | $0.248 | $5 | 28d ago |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 24.69 | $0.900 | $22.22 | 28d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 27?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | 29d ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on September 27?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | 29d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 27?Yes | buy | 59.97 | $0.072 | $4.3 | 29d ago |
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 11.23 | $0.920 | $10.33 | 29d ago |
 Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 11.11 | $0.941 | $10.45 | 29d ago |
 Trump renames AI by September 30?No | buy | 5.83 | $0.720 | $4.2 | Sep 24, 2026 UTC |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No | buy | 97.7 | $0.819 | $80 | Sep 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 10.86 | $0.940 | $10.21 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 270.48 | $0.739 | $200 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No | buy | 225 | $0.800 | $180 | Sep 17, 2026 UTC |
 Trump out as President by September 30?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Sep 15, 2026 UTC |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 201.33 | $0.745 | $150 | Sep 15, 2026 UTC |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No | buy | 129.87 | $0.770 | $100 | Sep 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 60.24 | $0.830 | $50 | Sep 14, 2026 UTC |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No | buy | 123.46 | $0.810 | $100 | Sep 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?No | buy | 43.48 | $0.690 | $30 | Sep 14, 2026 UTC |
 Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?No | buy | 60 | $0.873 | $52.38 | Sep 14, 2026 UTC |
3 of 5 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 3 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.