Latest trade
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 9:27 PM UTC.
Analytics
Golden Kestrel 915B has made $16.63 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-23 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 9:27 PM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 48 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Oct 7, 2026 UTC to Oct 23, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026? | Yes | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1.82 | +$0.82 |
 Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in September?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | 31m ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-23 14:19 UTC
Polymarket public position response
11 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 21:27 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 21:27 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-23 14:19 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $64 and losing ones cost $38.17 across the latest 50 settled positions. 58% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $5.33 on “Israel closes its airspace by August 31?” (No); the largest loss, $2.08 on “Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 23 Oct 2026. It has traded 137 markets. Its open positions are worth $10.34 across 11 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 1.28 |
| $0.780 |
| $1.28 |
| +$0.28 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026? | No | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1.27 | +$0.27 |
 Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? | Yes | 1.38 | $0.727 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
 Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28? | Yes | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | $0 |
| Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in September? | No | 2.7 | $0.370 | $0.99 | -$0.01 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? | No | 1.25 | $0.800 | $0.97 | -$0.03 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 24? | Yes | 1.43 | $0.700 | $0.79 | -$0.21 |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? | Yes | 3.44 | $0.291 | $0.65 | -$0.35 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026? | No | 1.59 | $0.630 | $0.49 | -$0.51 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23? | Up | 2.04 | $0.490 | $0 | -$1 |
| buy |
| 1.25 |
| $0.800 |
| $1 |
| 8h ago |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?Up | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | 16h ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Yes | buy | 1.38 | $0.727 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Yes | buy | 3.44 | $0.291 | $1 | 2d ago |
 Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $640 Week of October 19 2026?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | 3d ago |
 Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin 32% to 34%?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | 3d ago |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 20?Down | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 24?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | 4d ago |
 Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $182 Week of October 19 2026?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | 4d ago |
 Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $517.50 Week of October 19 2026?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | 4d ago |
 Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $840 Week of October 19 2026?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Meta (META) Q3 average price per ad growth 15%+?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.599 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | 5d ago |
 United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 84% to 85%?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | 5d ago |
| United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 85%+?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | 6d ago |
 Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | 6d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | 6d ago |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 16?Down | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | 7d ago |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 16?Up | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.51 | $0.285 | $1 | 8d ago |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?Up | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | 8d ago |
 Will Meta’s Q3 headcount be above 68000?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | 8d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.748 | $1 | 9d ago |
 Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of October 12 2026?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | 9d ago |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 14?Down | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | 9d ago |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?No | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | 10d ago |
| Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | 10d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | 10d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | 11d ago |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of October 12 2026?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | 11d ago |
 Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio 86% to 89%?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | 12d ago |
 Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $3.0B?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | 12d ago |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | 13d ago |
| Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | 13d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | 13d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | 14d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | 14d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?No | buy | 1.78 | $0.561 | $1 | 14d ago |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | 14d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.61 | $0.277 | $1 | 15d ago |
 Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | 15d ago |
 Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 Week of October 5 2026?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | 15d ago |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 5 2026?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | 16d ago |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 3 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.