Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? | Yes | 29.41 | $0.340 | $13.09 | +$3.09 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 12.82 | $0.780 | $10 | May 10, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 168.41 |
| $0.297 |
| $3.45 |
| -$46.55 |
| buy |
| 15.15 |
| $0.660 |
| $10 |
| May 4, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 31.25 | $0.996 | $31.13 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 60.61 | $0.330 | $20 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.640 | $20 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.620 | $20 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?No | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?No | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?No | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?No | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?No | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?No | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Edouard Philippe be the next mayor of Le Havre?Yes | sell | 30.87 | $0.948 | $29.26 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?No | sell | 26.31 | $0.870 | $22.89 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Edouard Philippe be the next mayor of Le Havre?Yes | buy | 30.87 | $0.648 | $20 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.780 | $20 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?Yes | sell | 43.47 | $0.170 | $7.39 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.430 | $10 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.340 | $10 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 20.05 | $0.748 | $15 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. FinlandCanada | buy | 12.82 | $0.780 | $10 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.900 | $30 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.550 | $10 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?No | buy | 26.32 | $0.760 | $20 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.280 | $20 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | sell | 38.46 | $0.510 | $19.61 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 32.79 | $0.610 | $20 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.520 | $20 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will Bernie Sanders say "Minneapolis" during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?Yes | buy | 25.32 | $0.790 | $20 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Government shutdown on Saturday?Yes | sell | 30.01 | $0.900 | $27.01 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Government shutdown on Saturday?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.720 | $10 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?No | buy | 13.7 | $0.730 | $10 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 10-16?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.550 | $10 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Big Game: Player/HC to cry during National Anthem?Yes | sell | 23.38 | $0.020 | $0.47 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Big Game: Player/HC to cry during National Anthem?Yes | buy | 29.85 | $0.670 | $20 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.460 | $20 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?No | buy | 18.52 | $0.540 | $10 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Big Game: Player/HC to cry during National Anthem?Yes | buy | 15.36 | $0.651 | $10 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.320 | $20 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 28.17 | $0.710 | $20 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Big Game: Player/HC to cry during National Anthem?Yes | buy | 104.67 | $0.764 | $80 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Polymarket surpasses Robinhood on Similar Web in 2026?Yes | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami finish with the second most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Government shutdown on Saturday?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by February 6, 2026?No | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | Feb 5, 2026 |